It has been a tale of two seasons for Hill with 65% of his rushing production, 58% of his targets, and all of his touchdowns coming in the last six weeks. Over that stretch he's TE5, averaging 14.9 FPPG. With Derek Carr hurt, more likely that Hill's role grows than shrinks if he's healthy.
Hill matched his season-high with 15 touches in Week 13 and it's hard to see why the team would go away from that. He's averaging 4.9 yards per carry on the season compared to 3.8 for Alvin Kamara and 2.8 for Jamaal Williams. And Hill's 6.9 yards per target is better than Kamara, Williams, or fellow tight end Juwan Johnson. With Michael Thomas and Rashid Shaheed both hurt, a Chris Olave target is about the only thing more valuable to the Saints than a Hill touch right now.
There was a time when I begrudgingly would call Hill a start "if you don't have a tight end you like." We're past that now and if Carr misses significant time it wouldn't be that surprising if Hill is a league winner at tight end in the playoffs.
Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp will dominate targets for the Rams.
TE Preview
Numbers to Know
13 -- Taysom Hill had 13 rush attempts last week and has seven or more on four of his last five games. He's a start in all formats where he's TE-eligible, but he's top three in non-PPR.
2 -- David Njoku only caught two passes in his first game with Joe Flacco. I'm still ranking him like a must-start option but another dud and we'll have to question that.
15.2 -- Cole Kmet has four games with at least 15.2 PPR Fantasy points. He's a start this week despite his Week 11 stinker against Detroit.
9.17 -- The Texans have seen 9.17 tight end targets per game, the most in the NFL. If Zach Wilson is back at QB, Tyler Conklin is in play.
21.8 -- The Browns have allowed a league-low 21.8 yards per game to tight ends. Evan Engram is very risky if Trevor Lawrence is out.
I have very mixed feelings about Likely this week, and wouldn't start him over anyone you normally start. But the role in this offense combined with his athleticism does give him significant upside. He showed that upside twice last year, topping 18 Fantasy points, but he also has averaged less than five FPPG in three games that Andrews has played less than half the snaps.
I would move Conklin to the top priority if Zach Wilson is announced as the Week 14 starter. It's an outstanding matchup and Conklin has shown low-end starter potential with Wilson in the past.
The Broncos allow the most Fantasy points to tight ends and Chargers tight ends have combined to score eight of Justin Herbert's 21 passes this season. The only problem for Everett is that five of those eight have been scored by Donald Parham and Stone Smartt.
Kelce is back on the main slate in a potential shootout against a Bills defense that he has torched in the past. That's good timing because cash game mainstay Tray McBride is on bye. George Kittle is the only other tight end I would consider in cash games in Week 14.
The Jacksonville pass defense is falling apart and Amari Cooper is questionable at best. I'll overlook Njoku's stinker and take him at a discounted price and roster rate in Week 14.
