Dak Prescott is doing it again. In his last five games, he has thrown for 1,602 yards, 17 touchdowns and only two interceptions. He's added 66 yards and a touchdown on the ground. In the five weeks, he's outscored every other QB in football by at least 30 Fantasy points. Maybe the most galling thing is that this isn't unprecedented for him.
In 2020, Prescott came out of the booth with 1,690 passing yards, 86 rushing yards, and 12 total touchdowns in the first four weeks of the season. Then a Week 5 injury cost him the rest of the year. He started the 2021 campaign with 1,813 yards and 16 touchdowns in his first six games, cooled off, and then finished the year with 851 yards and 12 scores in the final three weeks of the season. Prescott is prone to hot streaks and the only question is when this one will end.
Or maybe, if it will end.
Prescott projects as my No. 1 QB this week against the Seahawks. After that, he has potential shootouts against the Eagles, Bills, Dolphins and Lions left on his Fantasy schedule. In other words, the guy who has been the best QB in Fantasy Football the past five weeks may just be the best QB in Fantasy Football for the next five. And those weeks are much more important to his managers.
3 -- Trevor Lawrence has three rushing touchdowns in his last two games. He had two in the 19 games before that.
9.4 -- Brock Purdy is averaging 9.4 yards per pass attempt. Only seven QBs have done that over a full season since 2000.
47.3 -- Sam Howell is averaging 47.3 dropbacks per game, five more than any QB in the league. I would not expect that to change as he chases the score against the Dolphins.
The bar is extremely low at QB this week, that is one of two reasons to consider streaming Minshew. The other is that it is easier to throw on Tennessee than run, and two of the last three QBs to face the Titans have scored at least 22 Fantasy points.
Young has been even worse than Minshew this season but the matchup against Tampa Bay is even better. The Buccaneers have given up the fourth-most Fantasy points to opposing QBs and they've given up 32 or more points to QBs in three of their last five.
I don't want to get cute this week at QB. We have arguably the most explosive pass offense in the league facing arguably the worst pass defense in the league. This game doesn't have to be as hard as we make it sometimes.
Stroud is actually $400 less than Tua Tagovailoa and I project him for more Fantasy points. The bonus is that he'll be lower rostered because his matchup is much worse on paper. I am just not sure how much matchups matter against this offense.
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Heath's projections
My full set of Week 13 Fantasy Football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 13. Projected stats for all starting quarterbacks are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.
