The Houston Texans are all-in on quarterback C.J. Stroud, trading for Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon this offseason to give Stroud some additional weapons. The 2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year was a Fantasy football breakout, racking up 4,108 passing yards and 23 touchdowns. Stroud is one of the first quarterbacks off the board in 2024 Fantasy football drafts, which could turn him into one of the 2024 Fantasy football busts if he does not have a monster season. He also does not offer much upside as a rusher, which could hold him back compared to quarterbacks like Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts.
Dolphins signal caller Tua Tagovailoa led the league in passing yards last year, so he will be a popular addition to Fantasy football strategy as well. A trusted set of Fantasy football rankings and proven Fantasy football advice is the only way to truly make sure you are on the right path this summer. As you begin your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle's 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He'd go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he'd finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Lions running back David Montgomery. The 27-year-old finished as the RB15 in Fantasy during his first season in Detroit, posting the second 1,000-yard rushing season of his career. He was fifth in red-zone touches and scored the fourth-most touchdowns among running backs in one of the league's best offenses.
Montgomery's volume decreased down the stretch of the season though, as he averaged 15 touches and 75.7 total yards following his return in Week 10. He is also expected to take more of a backseat to teammate Jahmyr Gibbs, who general manager Brad Holmes said would "see more of the load" in 2024. Montgomery out-carried Gibbs by nearly 40 touches last year, so he is being over-drafted based on those numbers.
Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Texans wide receiver Tank Dell. The 24-year-old burst onto the NFL scene as a rookie in 2023, catching 47 passes for 709 yards and seven touchdowns in only 11 games. He suffered a season-ending injury in Week 13 and missed the Texans' final five regular season games and both playoff games.
Dell currently has an ADP of 52, and SportsLine's model does not have him living up to expectations in 2024. The Texans are expected to be one of the better offensive teams in the NFL, but Dell will now be competing for targets with Stefon Diggs, Nico Collins, Dalton Schultz and Robert Woods. Houston also added running back Joe Mixon during the offseason. With so many mouths to feed in the Houston offense, it's hard to see Dell coming back from a serious injury and duplicating his 2023 per game averages. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings
SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.