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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    +294
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NCAAF O/U Picks
    Over 57.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 5 @ 8:50pm

    Analysis

    The South Alabama Jaguars travel to Jonesboro, Arkansas, to play the Arkansas State Red Wolves, who are a 1.5-point favorite Thursday night. The area that got me excited for this game is a total sitting at 57.5. South Alabama averages a 35-31 score as they're 3-2 straight up and ATS. Last week they beat Louisiana Monroe 52–35. They've gone over the total in four of their five games. Arkansas State may barely win the game, but this game will definitely go over despite the last five meetings staying under.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +530
    (75%)
    6-2 in Last 8 NHL ML Picks
    NYI
    -167
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 7 @ 3:14pm

    Analysis

    This feels a good 25 cents low for Thursday so I'll grab it now with No. 1 Ilya Sorokin already confirmed in net for the Islanders. The Russian has been spectacular in allowing just two goals on 63 shots so far. The Hawks won't be very good with Connor Bedard and he's still out. And so is another top-six forward in Teuvo Teravainen (2A). Chicago is 0-3 away, outscored 15-5, and this is a one-game trip that players hate. You are probably fine with the 60-minute line to bring this down or -1. I'm going to up the wager to 1.5 units at this number.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    CLE +4
    -110
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 8 @ 9:33am

    Analysis

    I mean it's preseason but why are the Cavs getting 4 at home when they are playing all their guys? So are the Celtics, but they also have to weave in some new additions like Paul George and Mitchell Robinson while starting life without Jaylen Brown. When the scrubs come in, we get a look at Cleveland second-round rookie Meleek Thomas, who led the NBA Summer League in scoring (27.3 PPG).
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +250
    (55%)
    6-5-1 in Last 12 NHL Picks
    Under 6.5
    -137
    Over/Under
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 8 @ 11:55am

    Analysis

    Our only book with 6.5 and as you can see it may flip to 5.5 soon. Both No. 1 goalies are set to play and both have been very good: Karel Vejmelka (2.02 GAA) for Utah and Jeremy Swayman (2.30 GAA) for Boston. The Bruins have had just one game in four top this number and that in OT. The Mammoth also have had just one in four top 6.5 goals. They might be without excellent offensive blueliner Mikhail Sergachev (1G, 5A -- second on team with six points) after he left Tuesday's game injured. Per usual, I think only a 3-3 regulation tie gets us.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +530
    (75%)
    6-2 in Last 8 NHL ML Picks
    OTT
    -170
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 8 @ 12:16pm

    Analysis

    I like a fair amount of NHL tonight. Always prefer teams in their home opener and the Sens finally play theirs. No. 1 goalie Linus Ullmark has been confirmed off a minor issue and he has been lights out at 2-0 with a 1.20 GAA and .949 SV. The Flyers are winless in four and starting backup Joseph Woll, who has allowed three goals in both outings. Philadelphia has been outshot an by an incredible 82 shots on goal. That's second-worst in league history through four games. I wouldn't play 60-minute line but would -1.

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