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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +752.5
    (68%)
    28-13 in Last 41 NCAAF Picks
    Under 76.5
    -112
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 26 @ 11:15am

    Analysis

    Wowzers, a total of 76.5 -- that's the highest of the season by far in college football. And I guess I get it as North Texas comes off an 88-total point game vs. Navy and had an 89-point total game a few weeks ago at Tulsa. FAU has that beat, coming off a 100-point game vs. Rice. But on principle I gotta play a half unit here. The model has only 50 points scored. That seems a bit low, but I'm good with 41-35.
  • expert headshot
    Todd Fuhrman
    #2
    +1019
    (91%)
    10-1-1 in Last 12 NHL Picks
    STL
    -113
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 10:37pm

    Analysis

    Don't look now but the Boston Bruins are sitting on 19 points atop the Atlantic in the midst of a 7-2-1 run but is it sustainable? A quick look under the hood shows the Bruins have outperformed their expected goals on offense (+8.74) however its the goaltending tandem that's carried them performing at a +15.21 goals saved above expected. The underlying metrics at 5 on 5 and across all situations suggest what goes up must come down. The Blues have been snakebitten offensively and ran into a white hot Jacob Fowler on Tuesday suggesting they're leaving a lot out there. Projecting Hofer vs Swayman I'm at Blues -123 here and on the off chance Sway sits this price will run even further from current.
  • expert headshot
    Sia Nejad
    +374
    (75%)
    6-2 in Last 8 NFL Picks
    GB -3.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 25 @ 9:50pm

    Analysis

    I think the Packers are in a good break out spot against a very vulnerable Panthers defense, especially after adding Josh Jacobs to the mix. The Packers have been recenlty victimized by some self-inflicted wounds and some questionable officiating, and they get a Panthers squad that just got exposed by the Bucs. Look for the Packers to roll offensively and to do enough on defense to cover the spread. This line currently at -4/-4.5 in a lot of places and I'd certainly look for the -3.5/-4 (-3.5 currently at FanDuel).
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +380
    (53%)
    65-57-4 in Last 126 NFL Picks
    CAR +4.5
    -112
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 26 @ 10:42am

    Analysis

    The Panthers are coming off their worst performance of the season, and this looks like an opportunity to buy low. Their run defense got obliterated for a second time this season, but here they'll get to face a Packers team with an awful O-line that didn't see a notable uptick in rushing production with Josh Jacobs back last week. The Packers defense has good overall numbers this year but has caught a lot of breaks by facing beat-up offenses, or weather-aided low-scoring games, or whatever Dan Campbell was doing last Sunday. The lookahead line here was Packers -3, and I think there's value on the Panthers with inflation on that number. I'd lean Panthers at +3.5 and play them at +4 as well.
  • expert headshot
    Alex Selesnick
    +241.5
    (63%)
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Coker
    Under 65.5
    -116
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Oct 26 @ 11:29pm

    Analysis

    This is a difficult matchup for Jalen Coker who after a scorching start has fallen back to earth. Coker will face a Packers pass defense that ranks 5th in EPA allowed per dropback on Thursday night football. Coker has been frequently on the injury report and this seems like a natural spot to fade him.

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