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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +646
    (73%)
    11-4 in Last 15 NFL ATS Picks
    ATL +3.5
    -129
    Spread
    Picked: Nov 2 @ 11:48pm

    Analysis

    Michael Penix and the Falcons are coming off a humiliating 16-0 loss. They were facing an elite Bucs defense in a rainstorm. Now they travel to Madrid to face the Bengals in a stadium with a retractable roof. The same Bengals who just gave up 36 points to the Titans. In that overtime win, Cincy lost rookie pass rusher Cashius Howell (fractured wrist), No. 1 corner DJ Turner (heel) and defensive end Cedric Johnson (ankle). While Turner and Johnson have a chance to play Sunday, it's not an ideal situation. Atlanta gets back its top pass rusher in James Pearce following his eight-game suspension. He led Atlanta with 10.5 sacks as a rookie last year. Grab the points.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +353
    (57%)
    28-21 in Last 49 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    T. Higgins
    Over 70.5
    -122
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Nov 3 @ 11:13am

    Analysis

    Tee Higgins has exploded for more than 300 receiving yards the past two weeks. This game in Madrid has shootout potential. While I like the Falcons to keep it close and cover, they’ll struggle to contain Higgins. He’s a 6-4 matchup nightmare, and he’s fully healthy. I would play this up to 73.5.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +177
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    T. Higgins
    Over 71.5
    -114
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Nov 3 @ 11:33am

    Analysis

    FanDuel (1.5u). Tee Higgins has been an absolute monster for the Bengals this season, clearing this line in five of seven games. At 11.9 yards per target he leads the NFL (minimum 25 targets). He’ll face the pass-funnel Falcons defense (sans last week) who are allowing the sixth highest yards per target to receivers aligned out wide (9.1) - Higgins is out wide for 87% of his snaps. Plus, the Falcons run a single-high safety scheme 61% of the time (third highest rate) and that’s where Higgins thrives. Higgins out-produces Ja’Marr Chase by a wide margin against single high looks - 418 yards vs. 219 and 3.4 yards per route run vs. 1.83. Smash spot for Tee.
  • expert headshot
    Alex Selesnick
    +687.5
    (67%)
    10-5 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. London
    Over 74.5
    -128
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Nov 3 @ 5:53pm

    Analysis

    Drake London had a big fat dud on Sunday against an elite Tampa defense. The entire Falcon passing attack struggled, but I think they’ll be far more functional against a mediocre Bengals defenses Cincinnati struggles in coverage and do not double team at a high rate, which bodes extremely well for London here. The Bengals are also the most pass heavy team in the league and could easily make this a high volume passing environment which would be optimal for London going over this line. He’s shown great chemistry with Penix outside of one game.
  • expert headshot
    Sia Nejad
    +227
    (62%)
    8-5 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    B. Robinson
    Over 17.5
    -119
    Longest Rush
    Picked: Nov 5 @ 5:24pm

    Analysis

    Bijan Robinson has hit this Longest Rush number in 6 of 8 games. He gets a Bengals defense that has been solid but inconsistent against the run. That inconsistency was showcased last week when Pollard rushed for 117 yards, which included a 40 yard TD run. The Bengals interior may stuff some runs (particularly inside), but it's also a unit that is below average in Yards Before Contact Allowed and is no stranger to explosive rushes. Bijan is slated for 19-20 rush attempts and he should spring one of them for 18+. This number is at DK and I'd also play it at 18.5.

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