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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +2683
    (60%)
    142-95 in Last 237 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    G. Williams
    Under 16.5
    -127
    Outs Recorded
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 14 @ 7:43pm

    Analysis

    DraftKings / Caesar’s. I’m a firm believer that the playoffs magnify pitch efficiency issues, and that’s what we’ve seen from Gavin Williams. Even though he’s been terrific, he has only been able to complete five and 5.2 innings in his outings, needing 4.56 pitches per plate appearance against the White Sox. The Rays have grinded out at bats more-so in the playoffs than the regular season, and are excellent a third time through the order facing a starter.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #4
    +1069
    (55%)
    43-35-3 in Last 81 MLB Picks
    Under 6.5
    +100
    Over/Under
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 14 @ 9:57pm

    Analysis

    Tampa Bay stays under the total in over 52% of its games, while Cleveland stays under the total in over 51% of their games, and we have a time change to get the game in with poor weather (rain) looming. It's expected to be 60 degrees with the wind blowing towards third base at 7 mph. Gavin Williams was masterful in his Game 5 clinching win against the White Sox, 2-0, and he had double-digit strikeouts in his last two starts. Griffin Jax hasn't allowed a run in his last three outings, and the Rays have won his last four starts. Between the weather and two starters pitching their best at the moment, I think this game stays under.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Snyder
    +146
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    G. Williams
    Over 16.5
    +102
    Outs Recorded
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 15 @ 11:13am

    Analysis

    Gavin Williams is on a strong run of missing bats and sometimes gets pulled early due to high pitch counts, but the Rays swing more than any other team. Plus, Games 3-5 have no off-days and the Guardians can't afford to empty the bullpen in Game 3. Williams will get deep into this game.
  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    +763
    (59%)
    34-24 in Last 58 MLB ML Picks
    CLE
    -125
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 15 @ 12:05pm

    Analysis

    Gavin Williams is the only current starting pitcher remaining in the postseason that is going into his fourth appearance of the playoffs. I don’t expect the fluid outings we saw against a divisional opponent in the White Sox in the ALDS. Yet, Williams deepest outing of the regular season against an American League team against the Rays. He went 7 2/3 innings and was not charged a run. The bullpen backs up Williams and the Guardians move to 2-1 in the series.
  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    Contrarian with Chutzpah
    player headshot
    P. Bailey
    Over 0.5
    -121
    Bases
    WIN
    Picked: Oct 15 @ 12:07pm

    Analysis

    Patrick Bailey has been making a big impact for the Guardians lineup. He has a run in both games in the ALCS. He also has a multi-hit game in three out of his last four starts, which included two huge home runs. Look for Bailey to be the bat that gets things going for the Guardians with a hit in his first or second plate appearance. He clears his combination line once again.

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