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  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #3
    +471.5
    (60%)
    18-12 in Last 30 MLB ML Picks
    NYY
    -170
    Money Line
    Picked: May 11 @ 9:58am

    Analysis

    The Yankees got swept in Milwaukee over the weekend. Now they lick their wounds and get to face a struggling Orioles lineup averaging 2.5 rpg the last four outings, a starter struggling with command and a bullpen with a 5 ERA this month. Ryan Weathers limited the O’s to one earned run his last start. The Yankee’s bullpen has a 2.12 ERA the last two weeks. New York bounces back.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    +158
    (52%)
    15-14 in Last 29 MLB Picks
    NYY -1.5
    +110
    Spread
    Picked: May 11 @ 1:03pm

    Analysis

    The Yankees have won the last nine meetings with the Orioles, including a sweep last week when the Yankees won by five runs or more in every game. That spells good news if looking to bet the run line in this series, but the split isn't as big as preferred, seeing how they're -150 to win by one and only +110 to win by two or more. The Orioles have the 27th-ranked pitching staff, posting a 4.74 ERA, and they allow 5.4 runs a game. It's 63° with no chance of rain in Baltimore, with the wind swirling and will be blowing out the right field by 8:00 (ET). This looks like a good Yankees and over scenario.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    Amags
    NYY -1.5
    +110
    Spread
    Picked: May 11 @ 2:33pm

    Analysis

    Ryan Weathers said he lost nine pounds since his last start, but was regaining strength quickly and on Thursday he said he felt good enough to pitch. He's now had extended rest and even if he's not his usual self here, in the end the Yankees are the better team, and have the better starter and bullpen. Baltimore is just 2-9 against better than .500 teams. Brandon Young multiple batters in 3/4 starts, is giving up hard contact (especially to lefties) and doesn't have anything overwhelming from a strikeout perspective. The Yankees offense should be able to handle whatever he throws at them and after facing great pitching in Milwaukee, this lineup needs to bounce back in a big way against a very gettable pitcher.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #3
    +471.5
    (60%)
    18-12 in Last 30 MLB ML Picks
    TB
    +112
    Money Line
    Picked: May 11 @ 10:04am

    Analysis

    The Rays have won 14 of 16, and that’s because the pitching has been extraordinary – just 0-1 runs allowed in nine of those games, and two runs in four others. Drew Rasmussen had a quality start in a 4-3 win over these Blue Jays last time out. The Rays’ bullpen has allowed two runs the last two weeks. I like Kevin Gausman and he’s especially tough in Toronto, but I also like plus odds on a Rays team shutting everyone down.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #2
    +494
    (73%)
    8-3 in Last 11 MLB O/U Picks
    Under 7.5
    -120
    Over/Under
    Picked: May 11 @ 12:37pm

    Analysis

    We've got a nice pitching matchup today with Kevin Gausman of the Blue Jays facing Drew Rasmussen of the Rays. They just met six days ago in Tampa Bay, and the Rays won 4-3, but the game went over the total of 6.5. Today the total is 7, and it's still an under play. The Rays have gone under in 12 of their last 14 games. Gausman has gone over the total of his last five starts, but I still think this one stays under as well. Just the under.

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