The 2024 PGA Tour season will continue this week in La Quinta, Calif., when PGA West hosts the 2024 American Express. The first tee times come at 11:30 a.m. ET on Thursday. The 156-player field will compete on both the Stadium Course and the Nicklaus Tournament Course on the PGA West property, and some of the biggest names in the sport are scheduled to tee it up this week. Scottie Scheffler is the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Ranking and he'll return to action after finishing T-5 in The Sentry two weeks ago to begin his season.
Scheffler has three top-five finishes with a win in his last four worldwide starts and he's the 11-2 favorite in the 2024 American Express odds entering the week. He's followed by Ryder Cup partners Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay (both 9-1) and Justin Thomas (20-1) in this week's PGA Tour odds. Before locking in any 2024 American Express picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that The American Express 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 American Express predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at The American Express 2024: Schauffele, a seven-time winner on the PGA Tour and one of the top favorites, struggles this week and barely cracks the top five. Schauffele is coming off a tie for 10th place at The Sentry, shooting 24-under-par in his first event of the season.
He finished in third place at The American Express last year, but he was outside the top 10 in 2022. While Schauffele performed well on the green during the 2022-23 season, he was not nearly as good off the tee. He finished the year ranked outside the top 100 on the PGA Tour in total driving and driving accuracy, giving bettors a reason to avoid him at short odds this week.
Another surprise: Jason Day, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Day has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 36-year-old is a former world No.1 who fell to as low as 175th in the OWGR but he's back inside the top 20 (18th) after a resurgent season in 2022-23 where he had eight top-10 finishes and a win.
Day's win at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson was his first in over five years and he's now up to 13 career victories on the PGA Tour, including a major win at the 2015 PGA Championship. Day is coming off a T-10 finish in The Sentry two weeks ago to begin his 2024 season and he was T-18 in this event last season. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 American Express picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2024 American Express, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out The American Express 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected American Express leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.
2024 American Express odds, field
See the full American Express picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +550
Patrick Cantlay +900
Xander Schauffele +900
Justin Thomas +2000
Sungjae Im +2200
Min Woo Lee +2500
Tom Kim +2800
Eric Cole +3500
J.T. Poston +3500
Sam Burns +3500
Jason Day +3500
Rickie Fowler +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Wyndham Clark +4000
Chris Kirk +4500
Cam Davis +5000
Daniel Berger +5000
Si Woo Kim +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Stephan Jaeger +6500
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Taylor Montgomery +6500
Andrew Putnam +8000
Adam Hadwin +8000
Beau Hossler +8000
Alex Noren +8000
Davis Thompson +9000
Tom Hoge +9000
Billy Horschel +9000
Thomas Detry +9000
Adam Schenk +10000
Keith Mitchell +10000
Will Zalatoris +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
Matt Wallace +11000
Alex Smalley +11000
Ryo Hisatsune +11000
Erik van Rooyen +11000
Aaron Rai +11000
Ben Griffin +12000
Matt Kuchar +12000
Justin Suh +12000
Nicholas Lindheim +15000
Sam Stevens +15000
Ryan Palmer +15000
Lee Hodges +15000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000
K.H. Lee +15000
Chesson Hadley +17000
Garrick Higgo +17000
Nick Taylor +17000
Austin Eckroat +17000
Matti Schmid +17000
Grayson Murray +17000
Mark Hubbard +17000
Matthieu Pavon +20000
