The Liberty Flames (8-4) and the Toledo Rockets (8-5) face off in the 2022 Boca Raton Bowl at FAU Stadium on Tuesday evening. This is the fourth matchup in history between these schools. Toledo has won all three games against Liberty, but the Boca Raton Bowl 2022 will be the first matchup since 2007. Liberty is 5-7 against the spread this season, while Toledo has gone 5-8 against the spread. The Flames will be coached by interim Josh Aldridge in place of Hugh Freeze, who took the Auburn job in November.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Rockets are 3.5-point favorites in the Liberty vs. Toledo odds. The over/under for total points is set at 51.5. Before locking in any Toledo vs. Liberty picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Liberty vs. Toledo and revealed its and Boca Raton Bowl 2022 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Toledo vs. Liberty:
- Liberty vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -3.5
- Liberty vs. Toledo over/under: 51.5 points
- Liberty vs. Toledo money line: Toledo -170, Liberty +143
- Liberty: 5-7 ATS this season
- Toledo: 5-8 ATS this season
- Liberty vs. Toledo picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Liberty can cover
Liberty has a stout run defense. The Flames give up just 144.1 rushing yards per game and allow opponents to average 3.8 yards per carry. Junior linebacker Mike Smith Jr. is able to dissect the play in a hurry and fill gaps. Smith Jr. leads the team in total tackles (69) with four pass deflections and two forced fumbles. He's finished with at least six stops in six different outings.
The Flames have a few players who can generate pressure up front. They have six players with at least four sacks on the year. Senior defensive lineman Durrell Johnson leads the pack with eight sacks. Johnson runs with an excellent motor and has a fantastic spin move. The Maryland native has the speed and flexibility to beat his man around the edge. On Nov. 19, he secured four tackles and a sack.
Why Toledo can cover
Toledo played solid all year long. The Rockets have athletic and alert defenders on all three levels, ranking third in the MAC in scoring defense (25.5) and first in total defense (331.8) and pass defense (185.5). Sophomore cornerback Quinyon Mitchell has outstanding awareness and ball skills. Mitchell is aggressive at the catch point, leading the nation in pass deflections (19) and tied for eighth in interceptions (5). He's logged two-plus pass breakups in six games.
Junior linebacker Dallas Gant is an impactful defender. He's ferocious against the run and very agile in coverage. Gant has a good feel for angles to collapse on the ball carrier. The Ohio native leads the team in total tackles (112) with five pass breakups and two forced fumbles. He's wrapped up 10-plus tackles in five different matchups. In the MAC Championship, Gant had 10 total stops.
How to make Toledo vs. Liberty picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 63 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Liberty vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.