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USATSI

The No. 22 UCF Knights aim to complete a season sweep of the No. 18 Tulane Green Wave on Saturday. UCF and Tulane meet in the 2022 AAC Championship Game with a potential berth in a New Year's Six bowl on the line. UCF is 9-3 overall and 6-2 in AAC play, including a win over Tulane. The Green Wave are 10-2 overall with the team's only conference loss coming against UCF.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Green Wave as 4-point favorites for this 4 p.m. ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 57 in the latest UCF vs. Tulane odds. Before making any UCF vs. Tulane picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UCF vs. Tulane and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Tulane vs. UCF:

  • UCF vs. Tulane spread: Tulane -4 
  • UCF vs. Tulane over/under: 57 points 
  • UCF vs. Tulane money line: Tulane -178, UCF +150 
  • UCF: The Knights are 7-5 against the spread this season 
  • TUL: The Green Wave are 10-2 against the spread this season 
  • UCF vs. Tulane picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Tulane Green Wave vs. UCF Knights

Why UCF can cover

UCF's defense is playing well this season, and the Knights had success against Tulane in the first matchup. The Knights are No. 3 in the AAC in scoring defense, giving up only 21.3 points per game, and UCF is in the top five in total defense (361.3 yards per game) and passing defense (212.1 yards per game). UCF is allowing only a 58.4% completion rate with the fewest passing touchdowns allowed (11) in the AAC. 

On offense, the Knights rank in the top 10 of the country in total yards (486.5 per game) and rushing yards (243.7 per game), and UCF is averaging 5.5 yards per carry to lead the AAC. The Knights also have 31 rushing touchdowns, most in the conference, and UCF is leading the way with a 50.0% third down conversion rate. On top of the elite running game, UCF is completing 66.6% of its passes with 7.9 yards per pass attempt.

Why Tulane can cover

Tulane's defense has been the best in the AAC this season. The Green Wave lead the conference in allowing only 19.8 points per game, and Tulane is No. 2 in the AAC with 336.8 total yards allowed per game. Tulane is especially excellent against the pass, leading the AAC with 182.2 yards allowed per game and 6.0 yards allowed per attempt. The Green Wave have given up only 16 touchdown passes with 11 interceptions, and opponents are completing fewer than 60% of pass attempts against Tulane. 

The Green Wave are also holding opponents to 4.0 yards per carry on the ground with a 35.9% third down efficiency mark. With Tulane sitting in the top five of the AAC in scoring offense, rushing offense, and rushing touchdowns, the baseline is strong, and the Green Wave have the benefit of home-field advantage.

How to make UCF vs. Tulane picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total, with four players projected to rush for at least 60 yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins UCF vs. Tulane? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UCF vs. Tulane spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.