HTC Center in Conway, South Carolina hosts the 2022 Myrtle Beach Invitational beginning on Thursday. The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Murray State Racers in an afternoon tilt. Murray State is 1-1 this season after a 31-3 performance and a bid to the NCAA Tournament a year ago. Texas A&M is 2-0 under head coach Buzz Williams, toppling Louisiana-Monroe and Abilene Christian.
Caesars Sportsbook lists the Aggies as 12.5-point favorites for this 4 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 137 in the latest Murray State vs. Texas A&M odds. Before making any Texas A&M vs. Murray State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $1,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texas A&M vs. Murray State and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Murray State vs. Texas A&M:
- Texas A&M vs. Murray State spread: Texas A&M -12.5
- Texas A&M vs. Murray State over/under: 137 points
- Texas A&M vs. Murray State money line: Texas A&M -900, Murray State +600
- MSU: The Racers are 3-4 against the spread in the last seven neutral-site games
- TAMU: The Aggies are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 neutral-site games
- Texas A&M vs. Murray State picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Murray State can cover
Murray State should be able to take advantage of Texas A&M's suboptimal ball security. The Aggies are committing a turnover on 22.7% of offensive possessions and have one of the worst live-ball turnover rates (14.4%) in the country. Texas A&M is also shooting only 67.9% at the free throw line, and Murray State is above-average in free throw prevention. Opponents are shooting only 32.3% from 3-point range against Murray State, and the Racers do have strengths on offense.
Murray State's 13.5% turnover rate is in the top 35 of the country, and only 2.5% of the team's shots have been blocked to begin the season. Murray State is also above-average in creating free throws, and Texas A&M is below-average in preventing free throw attempts on defense. Texas A&M also has a meager 8.2% block rate on defense.
Why Texas A&M can cover
Texas A&M is the superior defensive team in this matchup. The Aggies are in the top 25 of the country in adjusted defensive efficiency, and Texas A&M is in the top 15 of the nation in limiting opponent shooting efficiency. Opponents are shooting only 35.6% from 2-point range against the Aggies, putting Texas A&M in the top 10 nationally, and 3-point defense is also a strength at 26.3%.
Texas A&M has more size and athleticism, leading to a 75.9% defensive rebound rate, and the Aggies are forcing a turnover on 25.4% of defensive possessions. Murray State is shooting only 40% on 2-point attempts, feeding into Texas A&M's established potencies, and the Racers are also securing only 22% of missed shots on the offensive glass. With Murray State also outside the top 300 in assist rate, Texas A&M can stay set on defense.
How to make Murray State vs. Texas A&M picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 141 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can see the picks here.
So who wins Texas A&M vs. Murray State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picks, and find out.