The UCF Knights, seeded 12th, will look for the season sweep over the 13th-seeded Oklahoma State Cowboys in first-round 2024 Big 12 Tournament action on Tuesday at Kansas City, Mo. The Knights (16-14, 7-11 Big 12), who defeated Oklahoma State 77-71 on Feb. 28, are 2-0 on neutral courts this season. The Cowboys (12-19, 4-14 Big 12), who have lost five straight, are 1-2 on neutral courts. The Knights hold a 2-0 edge in the all-time series. This will be the first meeting between the teams in the Big 12 Tournament.
The game from T-Mobile Center will tip off at 12:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma State is averaging 71.3 points per game, while UCF averages 71.3. The Knights are 5-point favorites in the latest Oklahoma State vs. UCF odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 136.5. Before making any UCF vs. Oklahoma State picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the proven SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters 2024 conference championship week on a 145-104 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It also has a strong 28-18 (+820) record on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Oklahoma State vs. UCF and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for UCF vs. Oklahoma State:
- Oklahoma State vs. UCF spread: UCF -5
- Oklahoma State vs. UCF over/under: 136.5 points
- Oklahoma State vs. UCF money line: Oklahoma State +158, UCF -189
- OSU: The Cowboys have hit the first-half game total over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.00 units)
- UCF: The Knights have hit the first-half money line in 13 of their last 18 games as the home team (+8.30 units)
- Oklahoma State vs. UCF picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why UCF can cover
Junior guard Jaylin Sellers leads the team in scoring at 16 points per game in 29 games, including 28 starts in his first year with the Knights after two seasons at Ball State. Sellers is averaging 17.5 points in games that UCF wins, while averaging 14.4 in losses. He has reached double-figure scoring in 26 games, including a season-high 34 points against Stetson on Nov. 26. For his career, he has started 63 of 91 games, averaging 12 points and three rebounds.
Senior guard Shemarri Allen has reached double-figure scoring seven times this season, including a 17-point performance in a 77-71 win at Texas on Jan. 17. He scored 14 points, grabbed four rebounds and added two assists and two steals in the Feb. 28 win at Oklahoma State. In 28 games, including 27 starts, he is averaging 7.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 29 minutes. This is Allen's first year with the Knights after playing the past two seasons at Kansas City. See which team to pick here.
Why Oklahoma State can cover
Junior guard Javon Small is coming off a red-hot performance in the loss at BYU. Small scored 34 points, while connecting on 10 of 19 shots from the floor, including 5 of 9 from 3-point range, as well as 9 of 10 from the foul line. In 30 games, all starts, he is averaging 14.9 points, 4.8 rebounds, 4.2 assists and one steal in 32.9 minutes. In the regular-season meeting against UCF, Small scored 13 points, grabbed five rebounds and dished out two assists.
With senior guard Bryce Thompson out with a shoulder injury, freshman forward Eric Dailey Jr. has stepped up his play of late, and has scored in double figures in three of the past five games. In an 84-82 overtime loss to Oklahoma on Feb. 24, he nearly registered a double-double with 20 points and nine rebounds. He also had four assists. He scored 15 points and grabbed four rebounds against UCF. In 31 games, including 16 starts, he is averaging 9.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists. See which team to pick here.
How to make Oklahoma State vs. UCF picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 137 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins UCF vs. Oklahoma State, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $1,700 on its college basketball picks this season, and find out.
