In every one-QB mock draft I've seen and participated in this offseason, Christian McCaffrey was the first player taken with zero hesitation.
Until now.
In our most recent #AskFFT fan mock draft with 12 members of our Fantasy Football Today audience, Justin Jefferson went first overall. McCaffrey went second overall.
Why might someone consider another player besides McCaffrey with their first pick? There's the obvious: He's a 28-year-old running back. Though it's more common with backs who are even older than 29, there are breakdown concerns. By comparison, wide receivers tend to have better shelf-lives.
It should also be mentioned that McCaffrey is coming off of a 417-touch season including the playoffs, a career-high. McCaffrey missed 23 games over two seasons the last time he had over 400 touches in one year (2019).
Was Jefferson the right receiver to take over Tyreek Hill, CeeDee Lamb and Ja'Marr Chase? Perhaps so if rookie J.J. McCarthy plays to the level that Kirk Cousins did. But we're a long way from there. Our consensus rankings have Jefferson at fifth overall
Here are some other notable picks from our most recent fan mock draft:
- Amon-Ra St. Brown went sixth overall, one spot ahead of Tyreek Hill. This isn't the first time St. Brown went earlier than expected in a fan mock -- perhaps it's a sign that Fantasy managers are very much OK with St. Brown's mostly consistent high-end production.
- Jahmyr Gibbs went in Round 2 for the second straight mock draft, and no higher than 12th in any fan mock. It's beginning to look like he'll be an option for those picking in draft slots 10, 11 and 12.
- Maybe it was because he just got a fresh new contract extension, but Nico Collins went 17th overall ahead of Chris Olave, Drake London, Davante Adams and Michael Pittman, just to name a few. For him to go that high suggests that there are no concerns about a thinner target volume now that Stefon Diggs is in H-town. Diggs, for what it's worth, went 52nd -- two spots after Tank Dell.
- Josh Allen was the first quarterback off the board this time, and at 44th overall. It's another example of Fantasy fans collectively waiting to take a quarterback instead of rushing to get one with a top-20 pick. Jalen Hurts went with the pick right after, then Patrick Mahomes went in the round after.
- Speaking of quarterbacks, Anthony Richardson was the fourth one off the board at 56th overall -- three spots ahead of Lamar Jackson. It's the first time he's gone this high in a mock.
- Zay Flowers, DK Metcalf, Amari Cooper and Richardson all went higher than anticipated.
- Deebo Samuel, De'Von Achane, Rachaad White and Mahomes all went later than anticipated.
Every manager fielded a team that must start a QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, a TE and a FLEX (RB/WR/TE) along with seven reserve spots. Our scoring includes six points for all touchdowns along with one point per reception, one point for every 10 yards rushing and receiving, one point for every 25 yards passing and minus-two points for every turnover.
The results are listed below -- please take the time to review each team, and even consider how they started their mock drafts. Eight managers started their teams with one RB and a pass catcher, one had two RBs (Team 9) and the remaining three had two WRs (Teams 1, 7 and 12).
Round 1 | ||
---|---|---|
Pos | Team | Player |
1 | TEAM 6 | |
2 | No IR! | |
3 | TEAM 5 | |
4 | TEAM 3 | |
5 | TEAM 11 | |
6 | TEAM 9 | |
7 | TEAM 12 | |
8 | TEAM 2 | |
9 | TEAM 8 | |
10 | TEAM 10 | |
11 | TEAM 1 | |
12 | TEAM 4 | |
Round 2 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
13 | TEAM 4 | |
14 | TEAM 1 | |
15 | TEAM 10 | |
16 | TEAM 8 | |
17 | TEAM 2 | |
18 | TEAM 12 | |
19 | TEAM 9 | |
20 | TEAM 11 | |
21 | TEAM 3 | |
22 | TEAM 5 | |
23 | No IR! | |
24 | TEAM 6 | |
Round 3 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
25 | TEAM 6 | |
26 | No IR! | |
27 | TEAM 5 | |
28 | TEAM 3 | |
29 | TEAM 11 | |
30 | TEAM 9 | |
31 | TEAM 12 | |
32 | TEAM 2 | |
33 | TEAM 8 | |
34 | TEAM 10 | |
35 | TEAM 1 | |
36 | TEAM 4 | |
Round 4 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
37 | TEAM 4 | |
38 | TEAM 1 | |
39 | TEAM 10 | |
40 | TEAM 8 | |
41 | TEAM 2 | |
42 | TEAM 12 | |
43 | TEAM 9 | |
44 | TEAM 11 | |
45 | TEAM 3 | |
46 | TEAM 5 | |
47 | No IR! | |
48 | TEAM 6 | |
Round 5 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
49 | TEAM 6 | |
50 | No IR! | |
51 | TEAM 5 | |
52 | TEAM 3 | |
53 | TEAM 11 | |
54 | TEAM 9 | |
55 | TEAM 12 | |
56 | TEAM 2 | |
57 | TEAM 8 | |
58 | TEAM 10 | |
59 | TEAM 1 | |
60 | TEAM 4 | |
Round 6 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
61 | TEAM 4 | |
62 | TEAM 1 | |
63 | TEAM 10 | |
64 | TEAM 8 | |
65 | TEAM 2 | |
66 | TEAM 12 | |
67 | TEAM 9 | |
68 | TEAM 11 | |
69 | TEAM 3 | |
70 | TEAM 5 | |
71 | No IR! | |
72 | TEAM 6 | |
Round 7 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
73 | TEAM 6 | |
74 | No IR! | |
75 | TEAM 5 | |
76 | TEAM 3 | |
77 | TEAM 11 | |
78 | TEAM 9 | |
79 | TEAM 12 | |
80 | TEAM 2 | |
81 | TEAM 8 | |
82 | TEAM 10 | |
83 | TEAM 1 | |
84 | TEAM 4 | |
Round 8 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
85 | TEAM 4 | |
86 | TEAM 1 | |
87 | TEAM 10 | |
88 | TEAM 8 | |
89 | TEAM 2 | |
90 | TEAM 12 | |
91 | TEAM 9 | |
92 | TEAM 11 | |
93 | TEAM 3 | |
94 | TEAM 5 | |
95 | No IR! | |
96 | TEAM 6 | |
Round 9 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
97 | TEAM 6 | |
98 | No IR! | |
99 | TEAM 5 | |
100 | TEAM 3 | |
101 | TEAM 11 | |
102 | TEAM 9 | |
103 | TEAM 12 | |
104 | TEAM 2 | |
105 | TEAM 8 | |
106 | TEAM 10 | |
107 | TEAM 1 | |
108 | TEAM 4 | |
Round 10 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
109 | TEAM 4 | |
110 | TEAM 1 | |
111 | TEAM 10 | |
112 | TEAM 8 | |
113 | TEAM 2 | |
114 | TEAM 12 | |
115 | TEAM 9 | |
116 | TEAM 11 | |
117 | TEAM 3 | |
118 | TEAM 5 | |
119 | No IR! | |
120 | TEAM 6 | |
Round 11 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
121 | TEAM 6 | |
122 | No IR! | |
123 | TEAM 5 | |
124 | TEAM 3 | |
125 | TEAM 11 | |
126 | TEAM 9 | |
127 | TEAM 12 | |
128 | TEAM 2 | |
129 | TEAM 8 | |
130 | TEAM 10 | |
131 | TEAM 1 | |
132 | TEAM 4 | |
Round 12 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
133 | TEAM 4 | |
134 | TEAM 1 | |
135 | TEAM 10 | |
136 | TEAM 8 | |
137 | TEAM 2 | |
138 | TEAM 12 | |
139 | TEAM 9 | |
140 | TEAM 11 | |
141 | TEAM 3 | |
142 | TEAM 5 | |
143 | No IR! | |
144 | TEAM 6 | |
Round 13 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
145 | TEAM 6 | |
146 | No IR! | |
147 | TEAM 5 | |
148 | TEAM 3 | |
149 | TEAM 11 | |
150 | TEAM 9 | |
151 | TEAM 12 | |
152 | TEAM 2 | |
153 | TEAM 8 | |
154 | TEAM 10 | |
155 | TEAM 1 | |
156 | TEAM 4 | |
Round 14 | ||
Pos | Team | Player |
157 | TEAM 4 | |
158 | TEAM 1 | |
159 | TEAM 10 | |
160 | TEAM 8 | |
161 | TEAM 2 | |
162 | TEAM 12 | |
163 | TEAM 9 | |
164 | TEAM 11 | |
165 | TEAM 3 | |
166 | TEAM 5 | |
167 | No IR! | |
168 | TEAM 6 |
TEAM 6 | ||
---|---|---|
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 1 | |
2 | 24 | |
3 | 25 | |
4 | 48 | |
5 | 49 | |
6 | 72 | |
7 | 73 | |
8 | 96 | |
9 | 97 | |
10 | 120 | |
11 | 121 | |
12 | 144 | |
13 | 145 | |
14 | 168 | |
No IR! | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 2 | |
2 | 23 | |
3 | 26 | |
4 | 47 | |
5 | 50 | |
6 | 71 | |
7 | 74 | |
8 | 95 | |
9 | 98 | |
10 | 119 | |
11 | 122 | |
12 | 143 | |
13 | 146 | |
14 | 167 | |
TEAM 5 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 3 | |
2 | 22 | |
3 | 27 | |
4 | 46 | |
5 | 51 | |
6 | 70 | |
7 | 75 | |
8 | 94 | |
9 | 99 | |
10 | 118 | |
11 | 123 | |
12 | 142 | |
13 | 147 | |
14 | 166 | |
TEAM 3 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 4 | |
2 | 21 | |
3 | 28 | |
4 | 45 | |
5 | 52 | |
6 | 69 | |
7 | 76 | |
8 | 93 | |
9 | 100 | |
10 | 117 | |
11 | 124 | |
12 | 141 | |
13 | 148 | |
14 | 165 | |
TEAM 11 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 5 | |
2 | 20 | |
3 | 29 | |
4 | 44 | |
5 | 53 | |
6 | 68 | |
7 | 77 | |
8 | 92 | |
9 | 101 | |
10 | 116 | |
11 | 125 | |
12 | 140 | |
13 | 149 | |
14 | 164 | |
TEAM 9 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 6 | |
2 | 19 | |
3 | 30 | |
4 | 43 | |
5 | 54 | |
6 | 67 | |
7 | 78 | |
8 | 91 | |
9 | 102 | |
10 | 115 | |
11 | 126 | |
12 | 139 | |
13 | 150 | |
14 | 163 | |
TEAM 12 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 7 | |
2 | 18 | |
3 | 31 | |
4 | 42 | |
5 | 55 | |
6 | 66 | |
7 | 79 | |
8 | 90 | |
9 | 103 | |
10 | 114 | |
11 | 127 | |
12 | 138 | |
13 | 151 | |
14 | 162 | |
TEAM 2 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 8 | |
2 | 17 | |
3 | 32 | |
4 | 41 | |
5 | 56 | |
6 | 65 | |
7 | 80 | |
8 | 89 | |
9 | 104 | |
10 | 113 | |
11 | 128 | |
12 | 137 | |
13 | 152 | |
14 | 161 | |
TEAM 8 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 9 | |
2 | 16 | |
3 | 33 | |
4 | 40 | |
5 | 57 | |
6 | 64 | |
7 | 81 | |
8 | 88 | |
9 | 105 | |
10 | 112 | |
11 | 129 | |
12 | 136 | |
13 | 153 | |
14 | 160 | |
TEAM 10 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 10 | |
2 | 15 | |
3 | 34 | |
4 | 39 | |
5 | 58 | |
6 | 63 | |
7 | 82 | |
8 | 87 | |
9 | 106 | |
10 | 111 | |
11 | 130 | |
12 | 135 | |
13 | 154 | |
14 | 159 | |
TEAM 1 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 11 | |
2 | 14 | |
3 | 35 | |
4 | 38 | |
5 | 59 | |
6 | 62 | |
7 | 83 | |
8 | 86 | |
9 | 107 | |
10 | 110 | |
11 | 131 | |
12 | 134 | |
13 | 155 | |
14 | 158 | |
TEAM 4 | ||
Rd | Pk | Player |
1 | 12 | |
2 | 13 | |
3 | 36 | |
4 | 37 | |
5 | 60 | |
6 | 61 | |
7 | 84 | |
8 | 85 | |
9 | 108 | |
10 | 109 | |
11 | 132 | |
12 | 133 | |
13 | 156 | |
14 | 157 |