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USATSI

In every one-QB mock draft I've seen and participated in this offseason, Christian McCaffrey was the first player taken with zero hesitation.

Until now. 

In our most recent #AskFFT fan mock draft with 12 members of our Fantasy Football Today audience, Justin Jefferson went first overall. McCaffrey went second overall. 

Why might someone consider another player besides McCaffrey with their first pick? There's the obvious: He's a 28-year-old running back. Though it's more common with backs who are even older than 29, there are breakdown concerns. By comparison, wide receivers tend to have better shelf-lives. 

It should also be mentioned that McCaffrey is coming off of a 417-touch season including the playoffs, a career-high. McCaffrey missed 23 games over two seasons the last time he had over 400 touches in one year (2019). 

Was Jefferson the right receiver to take over Tyreek Hill, CeeDee Lamb and Ja'Marr Chase? Perhaps so if rookie J.J. McCarthy plays to the level that Kirk Cousins did. But we're a long way from there. Our consensus rankings have Jefferson at fifth overall.

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Here are some other notable picks from our most recent fan mock draft: 

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown went sixth overall, one spot ahead of Tyreek Hill. This isn't the first time St. Brown went earlier than expected in a fan mock -- perhaps it's a sign that Fantasy managers are very much OK with St. Brown's mostly consistent high-end production. 
  • Jahmyr Gibbs went in Round 2 for the second straight mock draft, and no higher than 12th in any fan mock. It's beginning to look like he'll be an option for those picking in draft slots 10, 11 and 12. 
  • Maybe it was because he just got a fresh new contract extension, but Nico Collins went 17th overall ahead of Chris Olave, Drake London, Davante Adams and Michael Pittman, just to name a few. For him to go that high suggests that there are no concerns about a thinner target volume now that Stefon Diggs is in H-town. Diggs, for what it's worth, went 52nd -- two spots after Tank Dell
  • Josh Allen was the first quarterback off the board this time, and at 44th overall. It's another example of Fantasy fans collectively waiting to take a quarterback instead of rushing to get one with a top-20 pick. Jalen Hurts went with the pick right after, then Patrick Mahomes went in the round after. 
  • Speaking of quarterbacks, Anthony Richardson was the fourth one off the board at 56th overall -- three spots ahead of Lamar Jackson. It's the first time he's gone this high in a mock. 
  • Zay Flowers, DK Metcalf, Amari Cooper and Richardson all went higher than anticipated. 
  • Deebo Samuel, De'Von Achane, Rachaad White and Mahomes all went later than anticipated. 

Every manager fielded a team that must start a QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, a TE and a FLEX (RB/WR/TE) along with seven reserve spots. Our scoring includes six points for all touchdowns along with one point per reception, one point for every 10 yards rushing and receiving, one point for every 25 yards passing and minus-two points for every turnover.

The results are listed below -- please take the time to review each team, and even consider how they started their mock drafts. Eight managers started their teams with one RB and a pass catcher, one had two RBs (Team 9) and the remaining three had two WRs (Teams 1, 7 and 12).

Round By Round
Round 1
Pos Team Player
1 TEAM 1 J. Jefferson WR MIN
2 TEAM 2 C. McCaffrey RB SF
3 TEAM 3 C. Lamb WR DAL
4 TEAM 4 B. Robinson RB ATL
5 TEAM 5 J. Chase WR CIN
6 TEAM 6 A. St. Brown WR DET
7 TEAM 7 T. Hill WR MIA
8 TEAM 8 B. Hall RB NYJ
9 TEAM 9 S. Barkley RB PHI
10 TEAM 10 K. Williams RB LAR
11 TEAM 11 P. Nacua WR LAR
12 TEAM 12 G. Wilson WR NYJ
Round 2
Pos Team Player
13 TEAM 12 A. Brown WR PHI
14 TEAM 11 J. Gibbs RB DET
15 TEAM 10 M. Harrison Jr. WR ARI
16 TEAM 9 J. Taylor RB IND
17 TEAM 8 N. Collins WR HOU
18 TEAM 7 C. Olave WR NO
19 TEAM 6 T. Etienne RB JAC
20 TEAM 5 D. Henry RB BAL
21 TEAM 4 T. Kelce TE KC
22 TEAM 3 J. Jacobs RB GB
23 TEAM 2 D. London WR ATL
24 TEAM 1 D. Adams WR LV
Round 3
Pos Team Player
25 TEAM 1 Z. Flowers WR BAL
26 TEAM 2 M. Pittman WR IND
27 TEAM 3 S. LaPorta TE DET
28 TEAM 4 M. Evans WR TB
29 TEAM 5 B. Aiyuk WR SF
30 TEAM 6 J. Cook RB BUF
31 TEAM 7 C. Kupp WR LAR
32 TEAM 8 D. Metcalf WR SEA
33 TEAM 9 A. Cooper WR CLE
34 TEAM 10 D. Moore WR CHI
35 TEAM 11 I. Pacheco RB KC
36 TEAM 12 D. Samuel WR SF
Round 4
Pos Team Player
37 TEAM 12 D. Achane RB MIA
38 TEAM 11 J. Waddle WR MIA
39 TEAM 10 R. White RB TB
40 TEAM 9 D. Smith WR PHI
41 TEAM 8 G. Pickens WR PIT
42 TEAM 7 A. Kamara RB NO
43 TEAM 6 J. Mixon RB HOU
44 TEAM 5 J. Allen QB BUF
45 TEAM 4 J. Hurts QB PHI
46 TEAM 3 T. Higgins WR CIN
47 TEAM 2 K. Walker III RB SEA
48 TEAM 1 T. McBride TE ARI
Round 5
Pos Team Player
49 TEAM 1 D. Montgomery RB DET
50 TEAM 2 T. Dell WR HOU
51 TEAM 3 P. Mahomes QB KC
52 TEAM 4 S. Diggs WR HOU
53 TEAM 5 D. Kincaid TE BUF
54 TEAM 6 C. Kirk WR JAC
55 TEAM 7 M. Andrews TE BAL
56 TEAM 8 A. Richardson QB IND
57 TEAM 9 G. Kittle TE SF
58 TEAM 10 A. Jones RB MIN
59 TEAM 11 L. Jackson QB BAL
60 TEAM 12 M. Nabers WR NYG
Round 6
Pos Team Player
61 TEAM 12 K. Pitts TE ATL
62 TEAM 11 Z. White RB LV
63 TEAM 10 J. Burrow QB CIN
64 TEAM 9 J. Conner RB ARI
65 TEAM 8 E. Engram TE JAC
66 TEAM 7 Z. Moss RB CIN
67 TEAM 6 T. McLaurin WR WAS
68 TEAM 5 N. Harris RB PIT
69 TEAM 4 D. Swift RB CHI
70 TEAM 3 C. Ridley WR TEN
71 TEAM 2 T. Pollard RB TEN
72 TEAM 1 J. Brooks RB CAR
Round 7
Pos Team Player
73 TEAM 1 J. Williams RB DEN
74 TEAM 2 D. Johnson WR CAR
75 TEAM 3 R. Mostert RB MIA
76 TEAM 4 L. McConkey WR LAC
77 TEAM 5 M. Brown WR KC
78 TEAM 6 R. Stevenson RB NE
79 TEAM 7 C. Godwin WR TB
80 TEAM 8 J. Warren RB PIT
81 TEAM 9 J. Reed WR GB
82 TEAM 10 J. Addison WR MIN
83 TEAM 11 C. Watson WR GB
84 TEAM 12 C. Stroud QB HOU
Round 8
Pos Team Player
85 TEAM 12 B. Robinson Jr. RB WAS
86 TEAM 11 C. Williams QB CHI
87 TEAM 10 D. Njoku TE CLE
88 TEAM 9 K. Murray QB ARI
89 TEAM 8 J. Herbert QB LAC
90 TEAM 7 R. Rice WR KC
91 TEAM 6 X. Worthy WR KC
92 TEAM 5 A. Ekeler RB WAS
93 TEAM 4 N. Chubb RB CLE
94 TEAM 3 K. Allen WR CHI
95 TEAM 2 D. Singletary RB NYG
96 TEAM 1 T. Spears RB TEN
Round 9
Pos Team Player
97 TEAM 1 D. Prescott QB DAL
98 TEAM 2 J. Love QB GB
99 TEAM 3 D. Hopkins WR TEN
100 TEAM 4 K. Coleman WR BUF
101 TEAM 5 T. Benson RB ARI
102 TEAM 6 E. Elliott RB DAL
103 TEAM 7 B. Purdy QB SF
104 TEAM 8 B. Thomas Jr. WR JAC
105 TEAM 9 C. Brown RB CIN
106 TEAM 10 J. Dobbins RB LAC
107 TEAM 11 C. Sutton WR DEN
108 TEAM 12 R. Odunze WR CHI
Round 10
Pos Team Player
109 TEAM 12 G. Edwards RB LAC
110 TEAM 11 J. Ferguson TE DAL
111 TEAM 10 J. Daniels QB WAS
112 TEAM 9 B. Bowers TE LV
113 TEAM 8 Q. Johnston WR LAC
114 TEAM 7 T. Tagovailoa QB MIA
115 TEAM 6 J. Goff QB DET
116 TEAM 5 C. Samuel WR BUF
117 TEAM 4 J. Ford RB CLE
118 TEAM 3 T. Hockenson TE MIN
119 TEAM 2 R. Doubs WR GB
120 TEAM 1 J. Smith-Njigba WR SEA
Round 11
Pos Team Player
121 TEAM 1 B. Corum RB LAR
122 TEAM 2 K. Shakir WR BUF
123 TEAM 3 T. Chandler RB MIN
124 TEAM 4 A. Mitchell WR IND
125 TEAM 5 J. Williams WR DET
126 TEAM 6 M. Lloyd RB GB
127 TEAM 7 Z. Charbonnet RB SEA
128 TEAM 8 J. Wright RB MIA
129 TEAM 9 T. Lockett WR SEA
130 TEAM 10 R. Shaheed WR NO
131 TEAM 11 R. Dowdle RB DAL
132 TEAM 12 T. Lawrence QB JAC
Round 12
Pos Team Player
133 TEAM 12 X. Legette WR CAR
134 TEAM 11 R. Wilson WR PIT
135 TEAM 10 C. Kmet TE CHI
136 TEAM 9 T. Tracy Jr. RB NYG
137 TEAM 8 J. Dotson WR WAS
138 TEAM 7 K. Miller RB NO
139 TEAM 6 D. Schultz TE HOU
140 TEAM 5 T. Franklin WR DEN
141 TEAM 4 R. Johnson RB CHI
142 TEAM 3 J. Jeudy WR CLE
143 TEAM 2 P. Freiermuth TE PIT
144 TEAM 1 C. Hubbard RB CAR
Round 13
Pos Team Player
145 TEAM 1 K. Vidal RB LAC
146 TEAM 2 A. Gibson RB NE
147 TEAM 3 J. McLaughlin RB DEN
148 TEAM 4 K. Cousins QB ATL
149 TEAM 5 D. Wicks WR GB
150 TEAM 6 L. Musgrave TE GB
151 TEAM 7 E. Mitchell RB SF
152 TEAM 8 C. Parkinson TE LAR
153 TEAM 9 J. Downs WR IND
154 TEAM 10 D. Foreman RB CLE
155 TEAM 11 B. Irving RB TB
156 TEAM 12 K. Mitchell RB BAL
Round 14
Pos Team Player
157 TEAM 12 J. Burton WR CIN
158 TEAM 11 D. Goedert TE PHI
159 TEAM 10 J. Meyers WR LV
160 TEAM 9 M. Stafford QB LAR
161 TEAM 8 D. Chark WR LAC
162 TEAM 7 T. Allgeier RB ATL
163 TEAM 6 J. Palmer WR LAC
164 TEAM 5 I. Likely TE BAL
165 TEAM 4 R. Pearsall WR SF
166 TEAM 3 D. Watson QB CLE
167 TEAM 2 A. Mattison RB LV
168 TEAM 1 J. Polk WR NE
Team by Team
TEAM 1
Rd Pk Player
1 1 J. Jefferson WR MIN
2 24 D. Adams WR LV
3 25 Z. Flowers WR BAL
4 48 T. McBride TE ARI
5 49 D. Montgomery RB DET
6 72 J. Brooks RB CAR
7 73 J. Williams RB DEN
8 96 T. Spears RB TEN
9 97 D. Prescott QB DAL
10 120 J. Smith-Njigba WR SEA
11 121 B. Corum RB LAR
12 144 C. Hubbard RB CAR
13 145 K. Vidal RB LAC
14 168 J. Polk WR NE
TEAM 2
Rd Pk Player
1 2 C. McCaffrey RB SF
2 23 D. London WR ATL
3 26 M. Pittman WR IND
4 47 K. Walker III RB SEA
5 50 T. Dell WR HOU
6 71 T. Pollard RB TEN
7 74 D. Johnson WR CAR
8 95 D. Singletary RB NYG
9 98 J. Love QB GB
10 119 R. Doubs WR GB
11 122 K. Shakir WR BUF
12 143 P. Freiermuth TE PIT
13 146 A. Gibson RB NE
14 167 A. Mattison RB LV
TEAM 3
Rd Pk Player
1 3 C. Lamb WR DAL
2 22 J. Jacobs RB GB
3 27 S. LaPorta TE DET
4 46 T. Higgins WR CIN
5 51 P. Mahomes QB KC
6 70 C. Ridley WR TEN
7 75 R. Mostert RB MIA
8 94 K. Allen WR CHI
9 99 D. Hopkins WR TEN
10 118 T. Hockenson TE MIN
11 123 T. Chandler RB MIN
12 142 J. Jeudy WR CLE
13 147 J. McLaughlin RB DEN
14 166 D. Watson QB CLE
TEAM 4
Rd Pk Player
1 4 B. Robinson RB ATL
2 21 T. Kelce TE KC
3 28 M. Evans WR TB
4 45 J. Hurts QB PHI
5 52 S. Diggs WR HOU
6 69 D. Swift RB CHI
7 76 L. McConkey WR LAC
8 93 N. Chubb RB CLE
9 100 K. Coleman WR BUF
10 117 J. Ford RB CLE
11 124 A. Mitchell WR IND
12 141 R. Johnson RB CHI
13 148 K. Cousins QB ATL
14 165 R. Pearsall WR SF
TEAM 5
Rd Pk Player
1 5 J. Chase WR CIN
2 20 D. Henry RB BAL
3 29 B. Aiyuk WR SF
4 44 J. Allen QB BUF
5 53 D. Kincaid TE BUF
6 68 N. Harris RB PIT
7 77 M. Brown WR KC
8 92 A. Ekeler RB WAS
9 101 T. Benson RB ARI
10 116 C. Samuel WR BUF
11 125 J. Williams WR DET
12 140 T. Franklin WR DEN
13 149 D. Wicks WR GB
14 164 I. Likely TE BAL
TEAM 6
Rd Pk Player
1 6 A. St. Brown WR DET
2 19 T. Etienne RB JAC
3 30 J. Cook RB BUF
4 43 J. Mixon RB HOU
5 54 C. Kirk WR JAC
6 67 T. McLaurin WR WAS
7 78 R. Stevenson RB NE
8 91 X. Worthy WR KC
9 102 E. Elliott RB DAL
10 115 J. Goff QB DET
11 126 M. Lloyd RB GB
12 139 D. Schultz TE HOU
13 150 L. Musgrave TE GB
14 163 J. Palmer WR LAC
TEAM 7
Rd Pk Player
1 7 T. Hill WR MIA
2 18 C. Olave WR NO
3 31 C. Kupp WR LAR
4 42 A. Kamara RB NO
5 55 M. Andrews TE BAL
6 66 Z. Moss RB CIN
7 79 C. Godwin WR TB
8 90 R. Rice WR KC
9 103 B. Purdy QB SF
10 114 T. Tagovailoa QB MIA
11 127 Z. Charbonnet RB SEA
12 138 K. Miller RB NO
13 151 E. Mitchell RB SF
14 162 T. Allgeier RB ATL
TEAM 8
Rd Pk Player
1 8 B. Hall RB NYJ
2 17 N. Collins WR HOU
3 32 D. Metcalf WR SEA
4 41 G. Pickens WR PIT
5 56 A. Richardson QB IND
6 65 E. Engram TE JAC
7 80 J. Warren RB PIT
8 89 J. Herbert QB LAC
9 104 B. Thomas Jr. WR JAC
10 113 Q. Johnston WR LAC
11 128 J. Wright RB MIA
12 137 J. Dotson WR WAS
13 152 C. Parkinson TE LAR
14 161 D. Chark WR LAC
TEAM 9
Rd Pk Player
1 9 S. Barkley RB PHI
2 16 J. Taylor RB IND
3 33 A. Cooper WR CLE
4 40 D. Smith WR PHI
5 57 G. Kittle TE SF
6 64 J. Conner RB ARI
7 81 J. Reed WR GB
8 88 K. Murray QB ARI
9 105 C. Brown RB CIN
10 112 B. Bowers TE LV
11 129 T. Lockett WR SEA
12 136 T. Tracy Jr. RB NYG
13 153 J. Downs WR IND
14 160 M. Stafford QB LAR
TEAM 10
Rd Pk Player
1 10 K. Williams RB LAR
2 15 M. Harrison Jr. WR ARI
3 34 D. Moore WR CHI
4 39 R. White RB TB
5 58 A. Jones RB MIN
6 63 J. Burrow QB CIN
7 82 J. Addison WR MIN
8 87 D. Njoku TE CLE
9 106 J. Dobbins RB LAC
10 111 J. Daniels QB WAS
11 130 R. Shaheed WR NO
12 135 C. Kmet TE CHI
13 154 D. Foreman RB CLE
14 159 J. Meyers WR LV
TEAM 11
Rd Pk Player
1 11 P. Nacua WR LAR
2 14 J. Gibbs RB DET
3 35 I. Pacheco RB KC
4 38 J. Waddle WR MIA
5 59 L. Jackson QB BAL
6 62 Z. White RB LV
7 83 C. Watson WR GB
8 86 C. Williams QB CHI
9 107 C. Sutton WR DEN
10 110 J. Ferguson TE DAL
11 131 R. Dowdle RB DAL
12 134 R. Wilson WR PIT
13 155 B. Irving RB TB
14 158 D. Goedert TE PHI
TEAM 12
Rd Pk Player
1 12 G. Wilson WR NYJ
2 13 A. Brown WR PHI
3 36 D. Samuel WR SF
4 37 D. Achane RB MIA
5 60 M. Nabers WR NYG
6 61 K. Pitts TE ATL
7 84 C. Stroud QB HOU
8 85 B. Robinson Jr. RB WAS
9 108 R. Odunze WR CHI
10 109 G. Edwards RB LAC
11 132 T. Lawrence QB JAC
12 133 X. Legette WR CAR
13 156 K. Mitchell RB BAL
14 157 J. Burton WR CIN