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  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    #3
    +665
    (67%)
    16-8 in Last 24 NHL ML Picks
    CGY
    -110
    Money Line
    Picked: Jan 16 @ 1:54pm

    Analysis

    The Islanders are coming off a hard-fought 1-0 victory against the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday, despite being outshot 35-18. New York boasts an elite goalie tandem, currently ranked third in save percentage, but the Flames’ duo of Cooley and Wolf—eighth in save percentage—should not be overlooked. Offensively, the Islanders rank 29th in scoring chances and ninth in PDO (shooting percentage plus save percentage), while the Flames sit 21st in scoring chances and 31st in PDO. In hockey, teams with the lowest PDOs often see improvement as the season progresses. Defensively, the Islanders rank last in high-danger shots against (197) and have a -51 differential. The Flames, at -5, remain a tough opponent at home. I think the Flames should be at least -120.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    #5
    +460
    (62%)
    21-13 in Last 34 NCAAB Picks
    UNC -3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 16 @ 3:18pm

    Analysis

    North Carolina has lost two of three and allowed 90+ points both times. However, I think this is a good spot to take the Tar Heels against a Cal team that has struggled when stepping up in class, losing to Louisville, Duke and Virginia all by 15+ points. While UNC has issues defensively, I don’t think Cal can exploit it. The Bears rank last in the ACC in offensive rebounding and three-point shooting. UNC lost to an underrated Stanford squad but travel won’t be an issue because they stayed out West. Cal is a much better free throw shooting team, although UNC doesn’t foul much and I expect the Tar Heels to dominate in the paint. I bet UNC -3.5 (FD). Bet up to 4.5.
  • expert headshot
    Will Brinson
    +120
    (50%)
    3-3 in Last 6 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Allen
    YES
    -110
    Anytime TD Scorer
    Picked: Jan 13 @ 9:52am

    Analysis

    I'm not entirely sure what we're doing with this number, because everyone else just saw Allen score two rushing touchdowns against the Jaguars (the best rush defense in football) despite battling 50 different injuries he picked up during the game. The Bills only path to winning the Super Bowl is with Josh Allen turning into Superman the rest of the way. He already did it against the Jags and dragged the Bills into the Divisional Round. I would fully expect we see more of it against the Broncos and he absolutely will not hesitate to put his body on the line and plunge across the goal line. Basically even money early in the week is an autobet on Allen to score.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #3
    +1475
    (60%)
    61-40 in Last 101 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    K. Shakir
    Over 4.5
    -130
    Receptions
    Picked: Jan 13 @ 11:32am

    Analysis

    FanDuel. Khalil Shakir cleared this line in 9/16 games in the regular season, and is very clearly Josh Allen’s most trusted target in high-pressure situations. Allen, who is banged up, will likely be thrust into passing situations (Broncos run defense ranks 2nd in DVOA), and Shakir should be in position to capitalize. Running most his routes out of the slot, he’ll avoid Patrick Surtain on the outside. The Broncos allow the fifth-highest target rate to slot pass catchers (36%, per Fantasy Points). Denver allowed the third most catches to pass catchers in the slot and out wide for nine air yards or less (11.2 per game). Shakir’s aDOT is 3.6 yards, with 82% of his targets coming in at less than 10 air yards.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +489
    (86%)
    6-1 in Last 7 NFL Picks
    DEN +1.5
    -120
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 13 @ 11:34am

    Analysis

    Second game in six days for the Bills and second in 23 days for the Broncos. Buffalo got pretty battered in that Jacksonville loss with safety Jordan Poyer and WR Gabe Davis already ruled out for this one. Denver is only the second No. 1 seed ever to be an underdog in the Divisional Round. The first one was victorious (Eagles). Buffalo's No. 1 rush offense was largely held in check by the Jaguars. The Broncos ranked No. 2 vs. the run.

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