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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    #5
    +350
    (60%)
    21-14 in Last 35 NCAAB Picks
    UNC -3.5
    -110
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Jan 16 @ 3:18pm

    Analysis

    North Carolina has lost two of three and allowed 90+ points both times. However, I think this is a good spot to take the Tar Heels against a Cal team that has struggled when stepping up in class, losing to Louisville, Duke and Virginia all by 15+ points. While UNC has issues defensively, I don’t think Cal can exploit it. The Bears rank last in the ACC in offensive rebounding and three-point shooting. UNC lost to an underrated Stanford squad but travel won’t be an issue because they stayed out West. Cal is a much better free throw shooting team, although UNC doesn’t foul much and I expect the Tar Heels to dominate in the paint. I bet UNC -3.5 (FD). Bet up to 4.5.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    #3
    +765
    (68%)
    17-8 in Last 25 NHL ML Picks
    CGY
    -110
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Jan 16 @ 1:54pm

    Analysis

    The Islanders are coming off a hard-fought 1-0 victory against the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday, despite being outshot 35-18. New York boasts an elite goalie tandem, currently ranked third in save percentage, but the Flames’ duo of Cooley and Wolf—eighth in save percentage—should not be overlooked. Offensively, the Islanders rank 29th in scoring chances and ninth in PDO (shooting percentage plus save percentage), while the Flames sit 21st in scoring chances and 31st in PDO. In hockey, teams with the lowest PDOs often see improvement as the season progresses. Defensively, the Islanders rank last in high-danger shots against (197) and have a -51 differential. The Flames, at -5, remain a tough opponent at home. I think the Flames should be at least -120.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #4
    +601
    (67%)
    12-6 in Last 18 NCAAB ML Picks
    OHIOST
    -185
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Jan 17 @ 10:25am

    Analysis

    I wanted to get this yesterday when it was much lower but I had to wait on the status of two banged-up guys in UCLA's Skyy Clark (13.5 PPG) and OSU's Cristoph Tilly (12.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG). Clark is out and Tilly in. And the Buckeyes will see the season debut of Penn State transfer Puff Johnson. He just won a temporary restraining order to get eligible.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #2
    +765.5
    (68%)
    17-8 in Last 25 NHL ML Picks
    BUF
    -125
    Money Line
    LOSS
    Picked: Jan 17 @ 11:39am

    Analysis

    Normally, I would not fade the excellent Wild but they are suddenly very thinned-out due to injury with forwards Marcus Johansson (34 points, +18), Matt Boldy (51 points, +12) and Joel Eriksson Ek (32 points, +13) as well as two rotation defensemen out. No team is hotter than Buffalo, which has won 15 of 17 -- it has never won 16 of 18 in franchise history. Tage Thompson and Alex Tuch both enter on six-game point streaks. Thompson is coming off a five-point performance including a hat trick against the Canadiens.
  • expert headshot
    Bob Konarski
    #1
    +1976
    (68%)
    42-20 in Last 62 NCAAB Picks
    UVA
    -120
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Jan 17 @ 9:50am

    Analysis

    SMU is 1-2 SU in its last three and 3-3 ATS. The Mustangs are going to want to push the pace at home where they’re 11-0 SU. However, besides of Duke, the Cavaliers are one of the most fundamentally sound teams the Mustangs have faced yet. Virginia’s offense is much improved than season’s past under Ryan Odom and their team can play any style. The Cavaliers already went on a road to Louisville and took them down as the Cardinals play a similar style. Virginia will take away transitions and make this a half-court game where they have the upper hand.

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