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The league title could be out of reach, but Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig have plenty to play for when they meet in a top-five German Bundesliga matchup Saturday. Both sides are playing in this season's UEFA Champions League and aim to return next season. Leipzig (8-2-3) enter the Matchweek 14 battle at Dortmund's Signal Iduna Park fourth in the Bundesliga table, one point ahead of the fifth-place hosts. Dortmund (7-4-2) drew 1-1 with league leader Bayer Leverkusen last Sunday but were eliminated from the DFB-Pokal with a 2-0 loss to Stuttgart on Wednesday. Leipzig have been off since beating Heidenheim 2-1 last Saturday.

Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET in Dortmund, Germany, The latest Dortmund vs. Leipzig odds list Leipzig as slight +140 favorites (risk $100 to win $140) on the money line, with Dortmund +160 underdogs. A draw is priced at +280 and the over/under for total match goals is 3.5. Before locking in any RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Dortmund picks, you'll want to see the Bundesliga predictions from SportsLine soccer insider Jim Holliman.

Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and grew up with soccer in his blood. He played competitively through high school and has been following the game closely since the 1970's heyday of the North American Soccer League. His interest has expanded worldwide, and his betting approach is centered on crunching the numbers, but he sees the whole field and relies on his instinct.

Since the 2022 World Cup, Holliman is 121-118-1 on his soccer picks and has been profitable across multiple leagues, including the UEFA Champions League and German Bundesliga. He is 25-15 (+717) on UCL predictions over that span.

Now, Holliman has broken down Dortmund vs. RB Leipzig and just revealed his German Bundesliga picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the Bundesliga odds for RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Dortmund:

  • Dortmund vs. Leipzig spread: Dortmund -0.5 (+130)
  • Dortmund vs. Leipzig over/under: 3.5 goals
  • Dortmund vs. Leipzig money line: Dortmund +160, Leipzig +140, Draw +280
  • DOR: Have won four of their past five Bundesliga home matches.
  • LEI: Have lost four of their past five road games in all competitions.
  • Dortmund vs. Leipzig picks: See picks here

Why you should back Dortmund

The hosts are coming off a loss, but they rested their starters early and took a defensive approach against Stuttgart. They took a similar approach to snap Leverkusen's eight-match win streak last weekend. Taking a point off the league leaders on the road was an impressive feat, and they led the match until the 79th minute. Der BVB also have strong victories against Newcastle and AC Milan in the Champions League over the past month, and they're 5-1-1 on their home turf this season.

Dortmund have been playing strong defense, as they lead the Bundesliga with 153 tackles won, and goalkeeper Gregor Kobel has a league-best 77.8 save percentage. They typically get their goals on the counter-attack, and Niclas Fullkrug, Julian Brandt and Donyell Malen have each scored four goals. Marco Reus and defender Julian Ryerson have scored three apiece, and Fullkrug and Brandt have combined for nine assists. The Yellow and Blacks won the most recent meeting in Dortmund 2-1. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Leipzig

The visitors are the statistically better team, but their issues on the road have them priced as underdogs. The Red Bulls have scored five more goals and allowed seven fewer in the 13 matches. They have won four of the past five overall meetings, and they outshot Dortmund 17-8 (6-3 on net) in the road loss in March. Leipzig took a 2-0 home victory in a German Cup quarterfinal match one month later. They had a 20-3 shot advantage in that one, putting 11 on target and allowing one from Dortmund.     

The time off after the victory against Heidenheim last weekend should make a difference, as most of der BVB's stars had to come on as the cup match progressed. Lois Openda scored on a penalty against Heidenheim, giving him 10 league goals, third-most in the Bundesliga. Seven other Leipzig players have at least two goals, and Xavi Simmons has four and is the league's assists leader with seven. Leipzig have allowed 131 shots, and the 38 allowed on target is second-fewest in the league. See which team to pick here.

How to make Dortmund vs. Leipzig picks

Holliman has taken an in-depth look at the RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Dortmund showdown from every angle. He is taking Over 3.5 Goals(-130) and has locked in two other confident best bets. You can only get Holliman's Bundesliga picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Borussia Dortmund vs. RB Leipzig, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to back, all from the expert who's been profitable across multiple leagues, and find out.