Chiefs vs. Bills odds, picks, line, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals 2023 Week 14 NFL predictions

TV channel, NFL best bets, streaming info, picks, kickoff time for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills in Week 14

By CBS Sports Staff

Dec 10, 2023 at 3:05 pm ET • 3 min read

The two most prolific quarterbacks over the last few years will meet on Sunday on CBS and Paramount+ as Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs host Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. Mahomes and Allen rank first and second, respectively, in touchdown passes since 2019, though their teams have struggled lately. Kansas City (8-4) has lost two of three since its Week 10 bye, while the Bills (6-6) have lost three of their last four. Buffalo leads the all-time series with a 28-24-1 record, but Mahomes owns a 3-2 mark against Allen. You can stream the game in select markets on Paramount+, which you can now try free for the first 30 days when you use the promo code STREAMNFL (expires 12/31/23).

Kickoff is at 4:25 p.m. ET. Per the SportsLine Consensus, Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Chiefs odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 49. Sunday's matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan, which you can now try free for 30 days with the promo code STREAMNFL.

Paramount+ is the only place to watch every minute of every NFL on CBS game this season. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including the UEFA Champions League and Europa League, NWSL, Serie A, and countless movies and shows. You can get your first 30 days free with the promo code STREAMNFL, so sign up right here.

How to watch Chiefs vs. Bills

Bills vs. Chiefs date: Sunday, Dec. 10
Bills vs. Chiefs time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Bills vs. Chiefs TV channel: CBS
Bills vs. Chiefs streaming: Paramount+ (get 30 days free with promo code STREAMNFL)

Week 14 NFL picks for Chiefs vs. Bills

Before tuning into Sunday's Bills vs. Chiefs game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine's advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-128 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-20 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 31-12 straight-up the last three weeks.

For Chiefs vs. Bills, the model is picking Kansas City to cover. After starting the year 3-1 against the spread, the line has gotten the better of Buffalo since then as it is 1-7 ATS over its last eight. Also, being in the role of the underdog hasn't been too kind to Buffalo, as the Bills have covered in just one of their last five games as an underdog.

Meanwhile, Kansas City is coming off a loss to the Packers last week, but that's not necessarily a bad thing for betting in its favor. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS since the start of last season following a loss, including 3-0 in that regard this season. Playing in front of one of the most raucous crowds in the NFL also doesn't hurt the Chiefs' defense, which averages 1.8 takeaways per game at home this season compared to 0.7 takeaways away from Arrowhead.

That defense will get to face Allen, who leads the NFL with 53 giveaways since 2021 and ranks second in turnovers this season. Given Buffalo's propensity to turn the ball over, plus betting trends in Kansas City's favor, the Chiefs cover in well over 50% of simulations according to the model. You may be able to stream the game here.