The No. 3 seed Minnesota Timberwolves and the No. 2 seed Denver Nuggets square off in a crucial Game 7 on Sunday evening. The winner will advance to the Western Conference Finals and square off against the Dallas Mavericks. In Game 6, Minnesota defended its home court and cooked the Nuggets 115-70. Denver has gone 1-2 at home in this series.

Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 199.5. Before making any Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Timberwolves vs. Nuggets and just locked in its 2024 NBA playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves:

  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets spread: Denver -4.5
  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets over/under: 199.5 points 
  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets money line: Denver -193, Minnesota +161
  • MIN: The Timberwolves are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games 
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their past five games played on a Sunday 
  • Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Nuggets can cover

Center Nikola Jokic is a consistent and dominant difference-maker on the floor. Jokic has soft touch when he's around the rim or knocking down jumpers on the outside. The three-time NBA MVP owns superb vision and will be active on the glass. In the 2024 NBA playoffs, Jokic leads the team in points (28.2), rebounds (12.9) and assists (8.8). In Game 5, he stuffed the stat sheet with 40 points, seven boards, and 13 assists.

Forward Aaron Gordon provides Denver with an athletic, two-way playmaker. Gordon is always hovering around the rim for dunks and layups. He also has the instincts and strength to be irritating throughout the contest on the defensive end of the floor. In the playoffs, the Gonzaga product is averaging 15.3 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per contest. In Game 5, Gordon had 18 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists. See which team to pick here

Why the Timberwolves can cover 

One of the best parts of Minnesota is its ability to have multiple players step up. The Timberwolves have athletic defenders, scorers, and ball handlers. Guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker comes off the bench with a lot of energy. Alexander-Walker has superb lateral quickness and plays physical defense. He can also be an asset as a 3-point shooter. In the 2024 NBA playoffs, the 25-year-old is averaging 9.9 points and 2.8 assists. In Game 5, he had 14 points, five assists, and went 4-of-8 from downtown. 

Forward Jaden McDaniels provides the Timberwolves with a lengthy and athletic perimeter threat. McDaniels has quick feet and long arms to alter shots and get into passing lanes. Offensively, he's a streaky shooter that finishes around the rim with no problem. He's logging 11.3 points and 4.3 rebounds per game in the postseason. In his last outing, McDaniels finished with 21 points, four boards, and two blocks. See which team to pick here.

How to make Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks      

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 207 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Timberwolves vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,800 on its NBA picks this season, and find out.