Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert enters the 2024 NFL schedule with new offensive coordinator Greg Roman and new head coach Jim Harbaugh. Herbert's talent is undeniable, but his inconsistent performances have made him a tricky player to evaluate heading into 2024 Fantasy football draft prep. He only played in 13 games last season due to a finger injury, throwing for 3,134 yards, 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions. It was a significant drop-off from his Pro Bowl campaign in 2021, when he threw for 5,014 yards and 38 scores. There are several layers of uncertainty surrounding Herbert's spot in the 2024 Fantasy football rankings, which could make him one of the riskiest 2024 Fantasy football picks.
It's critical to target 2024 Fantasy football sleepers and 2024 Fantasy football breakouts while avoiding 2024 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.
Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Titans running back Tyjae Spears. The 2023 third-round pick is coming off a strong rookie season, racking up 838 yards from scrimmage while scoring three touchdowns. Tennessee's backfield looks significantly different heading into the 2024 campaign since star Derrick Henry is no longer on the roster.
Tony Pollard is set to take over as the lead back in the offense, but Spears has an easier path to competing for touches than he did with Henry on the team. Pollard struggled in his return from an injury he suffered during the 2022 postseason, so Spears could wind up as the bell-cow back by the end of the season. Spears was heavily involved in the passing game last season and new head coach Brian Callahan has a history of involving his running backs in the passing attack. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts
One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Falcons wide receiver Drake London. The 22-year-old is heading into his third NFL season after showcasing impressive upside during his first two campaigns. He had 72 receptions for 866 yards and four touchdowns in 2022 before overcoming poor quarterback play to rack up 69 catches for 905 yards and two scores last year.
London is playing in a revamped offense that is led by proven quarterback Kirk Cousins after the Falcons' quarterbacks posted the fourth-lowest adjusted completion rate last season. There will also be pressure on Cousins to perform at an elite level, as rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr. is waiting on his opportunity to take over the starting job. Either way, London enjoys a huge upgrade at quarterback, which will allow him to realize his Fantasy potential. See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.
Top 2024 Fantasy football busts
As for players to avoid, the model lists Lions running back David Montgomery as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. The 27-year-old back is coming off of his first season with Detroit in which he rushed for 1,015 yards and posted a career-high 4.6 yards per carry and 13 TDs.
While that all sounds positive, Montgomery was less effective in the passing game in 2023. Despite playing half of the Lions' snaps in the latter half of the regular season, he had a career-low 16 receptions on 24 targets and no TDs through the air. As such, the model ranks Montgomery at RB25 in its 2024 Fantasy football RB rankings. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here
How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers. You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.
