The Texas Longhorns have one last opportunity to make their case to be included in the four-team College Football Playoff when they meet the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the 2023 Big 12 Championship Game on Saturday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Longhorns (11-1) are No. 7 in the latest CFP rankings, behind Georgia, Michigan, Washington, Florida State, Oregon and Ohio State and ahead of Alabama. Texas needs to beat the Cowboys (9-3) to have any chance at making the CFP and, based on the current rankings, may need Florida State to lose in the ACC Championship Game on Saturday to make the playoff. 

Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET. The Longhorns are 15-point favorites in the latest Texas vs. Oklahoma State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 56.5. Before locking in any Oklahoma State vs. Texas picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a strong profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It finished the 2023 regular season a profitable 13-9 on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Oklahoma State and just locked in its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Oklahoma State vs. Texas:

  • Texas vs. Oklahoma State spread: Longhorns -15
  • Texas vs. Oklahoma State over/under: 56.5 points
  • Texas vs. Oklahoma State money line: Longhorns -738, Cowboys +513
  • TEX: The Longhorns lead the country in red zone defense (0.688)
  • OSU: Ollie Gordon II leads the nation in rushing yards per game (131.7)
  • Texas vs. Oklahoma State: See picks at SportsLine  
  • Texas vs. Oklahoma State: live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns have one of the country's best defensive players in tackle T'Vondre Sweat. A dancing bear at 6-foot-4 and 362 pounds, Sweat has set career highs in tackles (40), solo tackles (16), tackles for loss (eight), sacks (two) and pass breakups (four), while adding a blocked kick. He has anchored a unit that leads the country in third-down defense (26.3%) and red zone defense (68.8%) and ranks fourth in rushing defense (85.0 yards per game allowed). For his efforts this season, Sweat was named the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year and an Outland Trophy finalist.

Sweat and the Texas defense face an Oklahoma State team that has struggled throwing the ball this season. The Cowboys rank 13th in the Big 12 and 108th in the country in pass efficiency (118.6). Quarterback Alan Bowman has thrown 11 interceptions this season, which is tied for the 11th most in the nation. See which team to pick here.

Why Oklahoma State can cover

The Cowboys have a sideline-to-sideline tackling machine in Nickolas Martin. A 6-foot, 215-pound sophomore from Texarkana, Texas, Martin ranks ninth in the country in solo tackles per game (5.8) and 15th in total tackles per game (10.0). He is one of five players with multiple 17-tackle games this season. For his efforts this year, he was named to the all-Big 12 first team defense.

In addition, Oklahoma State has had success against the Longhorns recently. The Cowboys have won nine of the last 13 contests against Texas and six of the last eight. Last season they upset the No. 25 Longhorns, 41-34, in Stillwater. See which team to pick here.

How to make Texas vs. Oklahoma State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under the point total, predicting 55 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can see the model's CFB picks at SportsLine

So who wins Oklahoma State vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.