The Bowling Green Falcons seek their first home victory in 19 years over the Ball State Cardinals when they meet during Wednesday night MACtion. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. from Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Bowling Green (2-2, 4-4) has only hosted Ball State three times since 2004, and the 51-13 win the Falcons (2-6, 1-3) posted that year remains their last home victory in the rivalry. The last time these clubs met, the Falcons earned a 48-10 victory at Ball State.

The Falcons are 5-point favorites and the over/under for total points scored is 39 in the latest SportsLine consensus Ball State vs. Bowling Green odds. Before locking in any Bowling Green vs. Ball State picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine computer simulation model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns. 

Now, the model has locked in on Ball State vs. Bowling Green and released its MACtion picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Ball State vs. Bowling Green:

  • Ball State vs. Bowling Green point spread: Bowling Green -5
  • Ball State vs. Bowling Green over/under: 39 points  
  • Ball State vs. Bowling Green money line: Bowling Green -222, Ball State +180
  • BGU: Leads the all-time series 21-9-1 against Ball State  
  • BSU: The Cardinals have gone Under the total in nine of their last 12 games 
  • Ball State vs. Bowling Green picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Ball State vs. Bowling Green live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Bowling Green can cover

The strength of the Falcons' defense lies in an experienced defensive line that has stepped up of late and made numerous big plays. For instance, senior defensive lineman Dontrez Brown had five tackles, three assists and two fumble recoveries against Akron. He is the only player in the country with two fumble recoveries in one game and ranks No. 5 nationally in most fumbles recovered this season. He also has broken up three passes at the line of scrimmage, a mark that is tied for third nationally.

Sophomore linebacker Cashius Howell has emerged as a versatile force in the pass rush and against the run. He has a team-high 4.5 sacks and has recorded 16 tackles. The Bowling Green defense also has been opportunistic with big plays of late, forcing a total of eight turnovers in its past two victories combined. Davon Ferguson, Jalen Huskey and Avi McGary all recorded interceptions in the win over BuffaloSee which team to pick here.

Why Ball State can cover

Ball State coach Mike Neu, who played quarterback for the Cardinals and led them to the 1993 MAC title game in his senior year, has never faced the Falcons in his eight seasons as head coach. He went 1-2-1 as a player against Bowling Green and said he looks forward to renewing the rivalry Wednesday.

Neu told the media this week that his team is in high spirits because it's coming off a victory in its last outing and in part because of the "mini bye," a 10-day stretch between games that allowed for his team to take a few days off and get mentally and physically refreshed for the next challenge.

What's more, the coach said he and his team share in the excitement to be a part of MACtion, the widely used term to describe the late-season run of MAC games on national television in isolated time slots. The tradition has become an iconic ritual among football fans and MAC teams receive more national recognition during these games than at any point in the season. Neu said the team was enthusiastic to be "the only show in town" on the college football landscape Wednesday night. See which team to pick here.

How to make Ball State vs. Bowling Green picks

The model has simulated Ball State vs. Bowling Green 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the point total and it generated a strong against-the-spread pick that hits more than 60% of the time. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Ball State vs. Bowling Green, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Ball State vs. Bowling Green spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up more than $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.