No. 15 Baylor will try to stay in third place in the Big 12 standings when it hosts Texas on Monday night. The Bears (21-8, 10-6 Big 12) are coming off back-to-back wins, including an 82-74 win over No. 7 Kansas on Saturday. They are seeking revenge after losing to Texas on the road in the first meeting between these teams this season. The Longhorns (19-10, 8-8) have won three of their last four games, picking up an 81-65 win over Oklahoma State on Saturday. 

Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET on Monday at Foster Pavillion. Baylor is favored by 7 points in the latest Baylor vs. Texas odds, while the over/under is 145.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Texas vs. Baylor picks, you'll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 18 of the 2023-24 season on a 141-100 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. It is also off to a sizzling 26-17 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Texas vs. Baylor. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:

  • Baylor vs. Texas spread: Baylor -7
  • Baylor vs. Texas over/under: 145.5 points
  • Baylor vs. Texas money line: Baylor: -298, Texas: +235
  • Baylor vs. Texas picks: See picks here

Why Baylor can cover

Baylor can clinch a top-four seed in the Big 12 Tournament with a win on Monday after picking up wins over TCU and No. 7 Kansas in its last two games. The Bears pulled off the upset at TCU as 2.5-point underdogs, powered by 13 second-half points from star freshman Ja'Kobe Walter. It was a team effort from Baylor in its win over Kansas on Saturday, as four starters finished in double figures. 

Senior guard RayJ Dennis posted a double-double with 19 points, 10 assists and three rebounds, while junior guard Jayden Nunn added 18 points and five boards. Dennis had 14 of his points after halftime to put Baylor in solo third place in the Big 12 standings. The Bears are 14-2 in their last 16 home games, and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight games. 

Why Texas can cover

Texas has already picked up one win between these teams this season, as junior guard Tyrese Hunter hit a game-winning layup in the final seconds. The Longhorns have some momentum heading into this rematch after winning back-to-back games for the first time in five weeks. They have also won three of their last four games, picking up an 81-65 win over Oklahoma State on Saturday. 

The Longhorns used a 14-0 run to pull away after the game was tied at 52-52. Senior forward Dylan Disu leads a balanced lineup with 16.8 points per game, while senior guard Max Abmas (16.5), Hunter (10.7) and sophomore forward Dillon Mitchell (10.0) are all averaging double digits as well. Texas is 8-1 in its last nine games played in March. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Baylor vs. Texas picks

The model has simulated Texas vs. Baylor 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Baylor vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 141-100 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.