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The Arkansas State Red Wolves will look to play the role of spoiler when they take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers in a key Sun Belt Conference showdown on Friday. With a win, Appalachian State can earn the conference's regular-season title. The Red Wolves (16-14, 11-6 Sun Belt), who clinched fourth place, are just 5-10 in road games this season. The Mountaineers (25-5, 15-2), who hold a one-game lead over James Madison, who they beat twice this season, are 14-0 on their home court. Both teams sport a six-game winning streak.

The game will tip off at 6:30 p.m. ET at the Holmes Convocation Center in Boone, N.C. Arkansas State is averaging 79.8 points per game, while Appalachian State averages 78.6. The Mountaineers are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 148.5. Before making any Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 17 of the 2023-24 season on a 139-94 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $2,300 for $100 players. It also is off to a sizzling 25-14 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on App. State vs. Arkansas State and revealed its CBB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Arkansas State vs. App. State:

  • Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State spread: Appalachian State -6.5
  • Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State over/under: 148.5 points
  • Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State money line: Arkansas State +243, Appalachian State -301
  • ARKST: The Red Wolves have covered the spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.10 units)
  • APPST: The Mountaineers have won 23 of their last 29 games (+12.70 units on ML)
  • Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Appalachian State can cover

Junior guard Terence Harcum is one of three Mountaineers averaging double-digit scoring. In 30 games, including 29 starts, he is averaging 11.9 points and 2.5 rebounds in 27.4 minutes. He has scored 11 or more points in each of the past three games, including a 22-point effort in a win at Old Dominion on Feb. 22. Harcum scored 12 points in Saturday's victory at Marshall.

Junior guard Myles Tate, who is in his first season with the program after three years at Butler, has been red hot of late. He has played in 30 games, making six starts, and has reached double-figure scoring in seven of the past eight games, including a 25-point, six-rebound and five-assist effort at Marshall on Saturday. He scored 20 points with seven rebounds, three assists and three steals in a double-overtime win over Toledo on Feb. 10. For the year, Tate is averaging 9.5 points, 3.6 assists, 3.5 rebounds and one steal in 23.7 minutes. See which team to pick here.

Why Arkansas State can cover

Five Red Wolves are averaging at least 10 points per game, led by junior guard Taryn Todd, who is in his first year with the program. Last season, he played at New Mexico after one season at TCU. Todd has reached double-figure scoring in seven of the past eight games, including a 21-point and three-assist performance in a 76-73 win over South Alabama on Feb. 17. For the year, Todd is averaging 12.6 points, 3.3 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.1 steals in 25.5 minutes.

Fifth-year senior guard Caleb Fields has been solid of late, registering a double-double in Saturday's win over South Alabama. In that game, he scored 10 points, dished out 11 assists and grabbed five rebounds. In 28 games, including 26 starts, Fields is averaging 12.4 points, six assists and 2.9 rebounds in 32.1 minutes. He has four double-doubles on the year, including a season-high 35 points and 10 assists in an 85-82 win over Texas State on Jan. 11. See which team to pick here

How to make Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 148 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can see the picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets from a model that's 25-14 on top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.