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Two of the last three winners of this tournament square off in a Group B match on Thursday as Spain collide with Italy in the UEFA Euro 2024 at Arena AufSchalke in Gelsenkirchen, Germany. Spain won their second European Championship title in 2008 and captured the crown again four years later to become the first nation to go back-to-back. Meanwhile, Italy are the defending champions after edging England on penalties in the Euro 2020 final for their second title. The Spaniards have lost just one of their last 11 meetings with the Italians, a 2-0 setback in the Round of 16 during Euro 2016.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Spaniards are +125 favorites (risk $100 to win $125) in the latest Spain vs. Italy odds, while the Italians are +260 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +200 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Italy vs. Spain picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Last year, Green was profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.05 units), FA Cup (+3.07), EFL Cup (+4.47) and Euro 2024 qualifiers (+6.30), among others. He also was solid with his Premier League picks this year, going 30-22-1 (+7.07).

Now, Green has broken down Spain vs. Italy from every angle and has locked in his picks and Euro 2024 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Italy vs. Spain:

  • Spain vs. Italy money line: Spain +125, Italy +260, Draw +200
  • Spain vs. Italy over/under: 2.5 goals
  • Spain vs. Italy spread: Spain -0.5 (+115)
  • SPA: The Spaniards have lost just one of their last 11 meetings with Italy across all competitions
  • ITA: The Italians have allowed only two goals over their last six overall matches
  • Spain vs. Italy picks: See picks here

Why you should back Spain 

Each of the Spaniards last two meetings with the Italians came in the semifinals of the UEFA Nations League, and each were 2-1 victories. Forward Ferran Torres recorded both goals in the 2021 triumph, scoring what proved to be the winner just before halftime as Spain halted Italy's 37-game unbeaten streak across all competitions. The 24-year-old netted three goals during Euro 2024 qualifying and entered this year's tournament having converted in each of his last two matches.

The deciding goal in Spain's victory last year was scored by striker Joselu, who converted in the 88th minute to break a 1-1 deadlock. The 34-year-old shared the team lead with four goals during Euro 2024 qualifying, as he recorded a brace against Norway and tallied in both of Spain's meetings with Cyprus. Striker Alvaro Morata scored in each of the Spaniards' previous two matches against Italy and enters this showdown having converted in back-to-back contests, including the 3-0 triumph over Croatia in their tournament opener. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Italy

The Italians are riding a seven-game unbeaten streak across all competitions (5-2-0) and have lost just one of their last 12 (8-3-1). Italy gave up a goal just 23 seconds into their group-stage opener against Albania, but they bounced-back in a major way to secure all three points. 

Defender Alessandro Bastoni converted in the 11th minute to forge a deadlock, which midfielder Nicolo Barella broke in the 16th minute. It was the 10th international goal for the 27-year-old Barella, who netted his only goal of Euro 2020 in Italy's 2-1 quarterfinal win against Belgium. Winger Federico Chiesa scored a pair of goals for the Italians during Euro 2024 qualifying and was the only member of the club to convert against Spain prior to the penalty shootout in the Euro 2020 semifinals. See which team to pick here.

How to make Italy vs. Spain picks

Green has broken down Italy vs. Spain from every possible angle and is leaning Over on the goal total. He also has locked in a pair of confident best bets, including one that offers a plus-money payout, and is offering a full breakdown of this match. He's sharing his Euro 2024 picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Spain vs. Italy on Thursday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Italy vs. Spain have all the value, all from the proven soccer expert who has been profitable across multiple leagues, and find out.

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