justinjeffersonvikings.jpg
USATSI

The Minnesota Vikings will try to win their second game in a row and snap a two-game regular-season losing streak to the New Orleans Saints when they meet at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London on Sunday. The Vikings (2-1), who are coming off a 28-24 win over the Detroit Lions in Week 3, finished second in the NFC North at 8-9 last season. The Saints (1-2), who have dropped two in a row, were second in the NFC South at 9-8 in 2021. New Orleans has won five of the last six regular-season meetings with Minnesota.

Kickoff from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is set for 9:30 a.m. ET. Minnesota is a 3-point favorite in the latest Saints vs. Vikings odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 41.5. Before making any Vikings vs. Saints picks, check out the NFL in London predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Vikings vs. Saints 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Saints vs. Vikings:

  • Vikings vs. Saints spread: Minnesota -3
  • Vikings vs. Saints over-under: 41.5 points
  • Vikings vs. Saints money line: Vikings -165, Saints +140
  • MIN: Vikings are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games in Week 4
  • NO: Saints are 37-15 ATS in their last 52 games in October
  • Vikings vs. Saints picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Vikings can cover 

Minnesota is led by a pair of dynamic wide receivers, Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. Jefferson has five or more catches in five of his past six games and had six catches for 85 yards in the last meeting against New Orleans. Since 2020, Jefferson leads the NFL with 3,262 receiving yards.

Thielen had his 50th career touchdown catch in Week 3 and became the fourth undrafted player (Antonio Gates, Rod Smith and Wes Welker) since 1967 with 50 or more receiving touchdowns. In his last meeting against the Saints, he had eight catches for 97 yards and a receiving touchdown. He has 560 receiving yards (112 per game) and two receiving TDs in his past five games versus New Orleans, including the postseason. For the season, Thielen has 13 receptions for 149 yards (11.5 average) and one touchdown, with one explosive play of 22 yards.

Why the Saints can cover

Despite that, the Vikings are not a lock to cover the Vikings vs. Saints spread. New Orleans might not have starting quarterback Jameis Winston (back), who is listed as doubtful, but the Saints have a veteran backup option in Andy Dalton. He's thrown for more than 35,000 yards in his career and was .500 as a part-time starter in Chicago last season, so he should give New Orleans a chance to keep this one competitive. 

Running back Alvin Kamara had 172 yards from scrimmage, including 155 rushing, and a single-game NFL record-tying six rushing touchdowns in his last meeting vs. the Vikings. Including the playoffs, Kamara is looking for his fifth game in a row against Minnesota with a touchdown. He had 10 catches, 96 scrimmage yards, including 71 receiving, and a touchdown catch in his last London game on Oct. 1, 2017, against Miami at Wembley Stadium. For the season, he has carried 24 times for 100 yards (4.2 average), including a long run of 27 yards.

How to make Saints vs. Vikings picks 

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 44 points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's Vikings vs. Saints picks at SportsLine.

So, who wins Vikings vs. Saints in London? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Vikings spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.