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The Detroit Lions (1-0) will get their second straight playoff rematch when they face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) on Sunday afternoon. Detroit opened the season with a 26-20 win over the Rams in overtime last week, and now it will try to beat the same team that it got past in the divisional round of the playoffs. Tampa Bay, which is the only NFC team that has made the playoffs in each of the last four seasons, is coming off a 37-20 win over Washington. The Buccaneers have won three straight NFC South titles, while the Lions won the NFC North last season.

Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Lions vs. Buccaneers odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 51. Before entering any Buccaneers vs. Lions picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 2 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 184-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 38-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has set its sights on Tampa Bay vs. Detroit. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Lions vs. Bucs:

  • Lions vs. Buccaneers spread: Lions -7.5
  • Lions vs. Buccaneers over/under: 51.5 points
  • Lions vs. Buccaneers money line: Lions -383, Buccaneers +305
  • Lions vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Lions can cover

Detroit closed the 2023-24 season with a ton of momentum, winning the division title while advancing to the NFC Championship game. The Lions were able to build on that momentum when they picked up a 26-20 win over the Rams in overtime last week. Quarterback Jared Goff completed 18 of 28 passes for 217 yards and a touchdown, while running back David Montgomery had 91 rushing yards and a score. 

The Lions picked up two wins over the Buccaneers last season, beating them in both the regular season and the playoffs. Detroit improved its pass defense in the offseason, acquiring veteran Amik Robertson in March before drafting Terrion Arnold in the first round and Ennis Rakestraw Jr. in the second round. The Lions are riding a five-game home winning streak and have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay was competitive in last season's divisional-round game against Detroit, but the betting market is still fading the Buccaneers. They are coming off a brilliant season opener, cruising to a 37-20 win over Washington last week as 4-point favorites. Quarterback Baker Mayfield completed 24 of 30 passes for 289 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions.

He has an elite supporting cast in Chris Godwin, Rachaad White and Mike Evans, who each went over 60 receiving yards last week. The Buccaneers outgained the Lions in their playoff matchup last season, but a few turnovers wound up being the difference. Tampa Bay has covered the spread in six of its last eight games, and it has won seven of the last 10 meetings between these teams. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Lions vs. Buccaneers picks

The model has simulated Buccaneers vs. Lions 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Detroit vs. Tampa Bay on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Bucs vs. Lions spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 184-130 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.