NBA: Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors
Kyle Terada / USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Grizzlies will take on the Golden State Warriors at 10 p.m. ET Wednesday at Chase Center. Golden State is 23-24 overall and 17-6 at home, while the Grizz are 31-16 overall and 11-13 on the road. The Warriors defeated Memphis in six games in last season's Western Conference Semifinals and followed that up with a 14-point victory on Christmas Day.

Golden State is favored by 3.5 points in the latest Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 245. Before entering any Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 15 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 47-22 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Grizzlies. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread: Warriors -3.5
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies over/under: 245 points
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies money line: Golden State -155, Memphis +130
  • Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Warriors

It was a hard-fought contest, but the Warriors had to settle for a 120-116 defeat against the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. Shooting guard Klay Thompson had a pretty forgettable game, finishing with 10 points on 4-for-17 shooting in his 33 minutes on the court. Stephen Curry dropped 26 points, and he's averaged 25.8 points per game in his six games since returning from a month-long absence.

Golden State is really struggling on the defensive end as after ranking first in defensive efficiency last year, it has dropped to 18th this year. A big part of those struggles is that the Warriors are hacking their opponents early and often as they've allowed the most free throw attempts in the NBA. Golden State also lacks rim protection, ranking 27th with 3.9 blocks per game.

What you need to know about the Grizzlies

Meanwhile, it's never fun to lose, and it's even less fun to lose 133-100, which was the final score in Memphis' tilt against the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Shooting guard Desmond Bane put forth a good effort for the losing side as he had 21 points and five assists.

Memphis was without Ja Morant (ankle) and Steven Adams (knee) in the loss, and while Morant will return tonight, both Adams and John Konchar (concussion) are out. Memphis is 27-12 when Morant starts as opposed to 4-4 when he sits. Adams is a big component of Memphis having the league's No. 1 defensive efficiency, so more will be required on that end from the likes of Santi Aldama and Brandon Clarke to complement the league's leading shot-blocker in Jaren Jackson Jr.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks

The model has simulated Warriors vs. Grizzlies 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70%  of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine to see which side of the Warriors vs. Grizzlies spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.