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USATSI

The No. 21 New Mexico Lobos will try to remain the lone unbeaten team in college basketball when they face the Fresno State Bulldogs on Tuesday night. They were able to keep their perfect record alive with a 76-75 win at Wyoming on Saturday. Fresno State had its two-game winning streak snapped in a 67-54 loss at Utah State over the weekend. 

Tip-off is set for 11 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Lobos are favored by 4.5 points in the latest Fresno State vs. New Mexico odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 136.5. Before entering any New Mexico vs. Fresno State picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 9 of the season 30-16 on all top-rated college basketball picks, returning more than $800 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Fresno State vs. New Mexico. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Fresno State vs. New Mexico:

  • Fresno State vs. New Mexico spread: New Mexico -200 
  • Fresno State vs. New Mexico over/under: 136 points
  • Fresno State vs. New Mexico money line: Fresno State +170, New Mexico -200
  • Fresno State vs. New Mexico picks: See picks here

Why Fresno State can cover

New Mexico is off to a historic start this season, but its schedule has not been particularly challenging, with its best wins coming against Saint Mary's and SMU. The Lobos have already won more games than they did during the entire 2021-22 campaign, suggesting that this could be a somewhat fluky start. They failed to cover the spread as favorites in their 76-75 win at Wyoming on Saturday. 

Fresno State is looking to defeat New Mexico for the seventh straight time, and it has won 11 of the last 13 meetings between these teams. The Bulldogs are led by senior guard Jemarl Baker, who is averaging 11.8 points and 2.3 assists per game. Senior forward Isaih Moore is scoring 11.6 points and grabbing 7.8 rebounds, while senior guard Isaiah Hill is chipping in 8.0 points and 2.8 assists. 

Why New Mexico can cover

New Mexico became the lone unbeaten team remaining in college basketball when top-ranked Purdue lost to Rutgers on Monday night. The Lobos have put together their second-best start in program history, as the 1967-68 team won their first 17 games. They opened Mountain West play with a dominant 88-69 win against Colorado State before coming up clutch against Wyoming down the stretch. 

Guard Jamal Mashburn Jr. scored 20 points against Wyoming and made two free throws with 17.7 seconds remaining to give his team the lead. Fresno State is coming off a 13-point loss to Utah State and has now covered the spread just three times in its last 11 games. The Bulldogs shot 37.3% from the floor, marking the fourth straight game that they have scored less than 60 points. 

How to make Fresno State vs. New Mexico picks

The model has simulated New Mexico vs. Fresno State 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Fresno State vs. New Mexico? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is 30-16 on its top-rated college basketball picks this season, and find out.